Gnistan vs SJK: match statistics
Gnistan vs SJK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gnistan played SJK in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Mustapekka Areena. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Gnistan: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. SJK: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gnistan scores 1.25 and concedes 1.63 goals per match. SJK scores 0.75 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gnistan 38%, SJK 38%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 38%, SJK 38%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
SJK has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.05. Gnistan: 8.5 shots per match, SJK: 13.8.
Match halves
Gnistan: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.88. SJK: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Gnistan: 61-75 (4 goals). SJK: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Veikkausliiga: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gnistan has a clear home offensive advantage: they score an average of 2.0 goals per match and have won 50% of home games, while SJK averages 0.0 goals away and has yet to record an away win (0 wins). The hosts register more shots (9.5 vs 8.0) and more shots on target (3.75 vs 3.33), and their home conversion rate is 21% versus the visitors’ 0% on the road, which strongly favors Gnistan in chance finishing. Defensively, Gnistan concedes 2.0 goals per home match with xG against 1.45, while SJK concedes 1.67 goals away with xG against 1.85, indicating the visitors allow a higher expected number of chances despite actually conceding slightly fewer goals. In the last 5 matches both teams have scored 9 goals, but Gnistan has a better points average in that period (1.6 vs 1.4), which further supports the hosts. Considering SJK’s 0 goals scored away (100% of matches without scoring) and Gnistan’s home efficiency (2.0 goals/match and 21% conversion), I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS is SJK — as away side they have an average goals of 0.0 and 0% matches with both teams scoring, indicating no away goals this season. Gnistan at home records 1.2 average goals, 60% BTTS and xG 1.98; hosts average 17.2 shots and 5.6 on target, so they create significantly more chances. SJK this season has 0.0% conversion rate and averages 8.0 shots and 3.33 on target per match, and their clean sheet percentage is 33%, which weakens the probability of an away goal. In the last 5 matches SJK improved metrics to xG 2.28 and scored 9 goals (1.8 average), so there is a real but limited chance of a visitor goal. Given the contrast of 60% BTTS for the hosts versus 0% BTTS for the visitors and SJK’s poor season conversion, I recommend "No" (70%) vs "BTTS - Yes" (30%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The forecast is based on seasonal xG: Gnistan has xG_for 1.98 versus SJK’s 1.12, and SJK concedes on average 1.85 xG to opponents, yielding estimated goals of approximately 1.92 for the home side and 1.07 for the away side (total 2.99). Seasonally Gnistan’s matches finished Over 1.5 goals in 80% of cases, and SJK in 67%, which strongly supports Over 1.5. Additionally, Gnistan averages 17.2 shots and 5.6 on target per match versus SJK’s 8.0/3.33, so the higher volume of shooting opportunities increases scoring probability. Over 2.5 has moderate chances (approx. 54%), since seasonally Over 2.5 occurred 40% of the time for the home side and 33% for the away side, while Over 3.5 is unlikely (20%/0%). Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Gnistan has a clear advantage in chance creation: xG 1.98 versus SJK’s 1.12, an average of 17.2 shots to 8.0 and 5.6 shots on target to 3.33, which increases their chance of mounting a comeback. However, the hosts often concede very early — they have conceded 4 goals in the 0–15 minute window and were trailing at half-time in 4 of 5 matches (80%), which raises the probability that SJK may have the lead at the break. In the second half Gnistan performs significantly better: they score an average of 1.0 goal after the break, have earned 11 points in second halves and average 2.2 points in second halves, winning that portion of the match 60% of the time. SJK are offensively weak away — season average away goals 0.0, conversion rate 0.0 and 0% away wins — so any lead at half-time is unlikely to hold. On this basis I assign the highest probability (38%) to the scenario in which SJK lead at half-time but Gnistan overturn the deficit and win after full-time (2/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gnistan | SJK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gnistan is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Gnistan · 0.6 pts / match - SJK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gnistan is 67% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Gnistan · 0.75 goals / match - SJK
SJK is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.63 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.38 goals / match - SJK
Gnistan scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while SJK keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
SJK scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gnistan
Over / Under - SJK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gnistan is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Gnistan · 0.5 pts / match - SJK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
SJK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gnistan
SJK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| Gnistan | Liga | SJK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 40% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Gnistan 0 - 1 - 3 SJK. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gnistan vs SJK?
The Veikkausliiga match finished Gnistan 3:2 SJK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gnistan and SJK?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Gnistan won 0, SJK won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs SJK?
Gnistan score 1.25 goals per game on average and SJK 0.75. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Gnistan's matches and 38% of SJK's.
What form are Gnistan and SJK in?
Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and SJK 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs SJK?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.