Finland - VeikkausliigaMustapekka AreenaData current as of 30 August 2026

Gnistan vs TPS: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Gnistan vs TPS: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gnistan play TPS in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 31 August 2026. Venue: Mustapekka Areena.

Current form

Gnistan: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. TPS: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gnistan scores 1.67 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. TPS scores 1.29 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.63 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gnistan 52%, TPS 52%. Over 2.5: Gnistan 48%, TPS 48%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Gnistan has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.44. Gnistan: 13.0 shots per match, TPS: 11.8.

Match halves

Gnistan: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.90. TPS: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Gnistan: 0-15 (8 goals). TPS: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.80)
(3.50)
(3.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Goals scored / match1.29
GnistanTPS
1.33Goals conceded / match1.05
GnistanTPS
42%Average possession46%
GnistanTPS
4.57Shots on target / match4.33
GnistanTPS

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13Shots per match11.76
GnistanTPS
4.57Shots on target4.33
GnistanTPS
12.8%Shot conversion10.9%
GnistanTPS
42%Possession46%
GnistanTPS
1.48xG for1.44
GnistanTPS
1.53xG against1.62
GnistanTPS

Shooting quality

Gnistan: Counter-attackingTPS: Balanced
GnistanTPS
Accuracy (shots on target)35%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.370.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gnistan is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.6 pts / match - TPS

Gnistan
WLDWW
Season result split
48% W24% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-6
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.80BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
TPS
LWDWD
Season result split
38% W29% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-6-7
1.43 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gnistan is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.29 goals / match - TPS

TPS is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Gnistan · 1.05 goals / match - TPS

Gnistan scoring profile: strong

Gnistan scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

TPS scoring profile: very strong

TPS scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).

35Goals scored (season)27
GnistanTPS
28Goals conceded (season)22
GnistanTPS
3Average goals in match2.33
GnistanTPS
10Goals scored (last 5)7
GnistanTPS
8Goals conceded (last 5)3
GnistanTPS

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal76%
GnistanTPS
48%2 goals33%
GnistanTPS
29%3 goals19%
GnistanTPS
10%4 goals0%
GnistanTPS

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal67%
GnistanTPS
38%2 goals29%
GnistanTPS
10%3 goals10%
GnistanTPS
5%4 goals0%
GnistanTPS

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time19%
GnistanTPS
5%BTTS in both halves5%
GnistanTPS
33%Scored in both halves29%
GnistanTPS

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
GnistanTPS
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
GnistanTPS
80%BTTS - last 540%
GnistanTPS

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
GnistanTPS
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
GnistanTPS
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
GnistanTPS

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
GnistanTPS
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
GnistanTPS
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
GnistanTPS

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gnistan is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.48 pts / match - Gnistan · 1.1 pts / match - TPS

Gnistan - half-time state
38% leading33% draw29% trailing
TPS - half-time state
24% leading38% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.48Points per match (1st half)1.1
GnistanTPS
0.76Goals scored (1st half)0.62
GnistanTPS
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
GnistanTPS
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.19
GnistanTPS
52%Clean sheet before half-time57%
GnistanTPS
43%No goal before half-time57%
GnistanTPS

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per match (2nd half)1.48
GnistanTPS
0.9Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
GnistanTPS
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.48
GnistanTPS
1.62Average goals (2nd half)1.14
GnistanTPS
48%Clean sheet after half-time57%
GnistanTPS
48%No goal after half-time38%
GnistanTPS

Gnistan - second-half results

48% W14% R38% P
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.48
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

TPS - second-half results

33% W48% R19% P
23
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding158%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gnistan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match1.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.20.4
Average goals in match2.41.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%20%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
TPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.80.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+2+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gnistan
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
4
2
16-30
4
7
31-45
6
6
46-60
8
2
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

TPS
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
2
46-60
0
5
61-75
8
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gnistan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.39
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

TPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

GnistanLigaTPS
Average goals in match 3.002.63 2.33
Both teams scored 52%50% 52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%48% 48%
Clean sheets 24%28% 33%
Goal before half-time 81%76% 67%
Goal after half-time 90%75% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.63
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Gnistan 0 - 1 - 0 TPS. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Gnistan and TPS play?

Gnistan face TPS on 31 August 2026 in Veikkausliiga at Mustapekka Areena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gnistan vs TPS?

Gnistan score 1.67 goals per game on average and TPS 1.29. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Gnistan's matches and 52% of TPS's.

What form are Gnistan and TPS in?

Over the last 5 games Gnistan have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and TPS 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gnistan vs TPS?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gnistan vs TPS: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.