Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV: match statistics
Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Go Ahead Eagles played PSV in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Go Ahead Eagles: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. PSV: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Go Ahead Eagles scores 1.63 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. PSV scores 2.88 and concedes 1.34. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Go Ahead Eagles 56%, PSV 75%. Over 2.5: Go Ahead Eagles 59%, PSV 84%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
PSV has higher xG: 2.05 vs 1.44. Go Ahead Eagles: 11.9 shots per match, PSV: 17.5.
Match halves
Go Ahead Eagles: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.94. PSV: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 1.44.
Goals by minute
Go Ahead Eagles: 76-90+ (13 goals). PSV: 76-90+ (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
PSV is the clear favorite — they sit 1st in the table vs Go Ahead Eagles in 11th, have 25 wins this season compared to 8 home wins for the opponents and have scored 92 goals vs 52. Away, PSV averages 2.44 goals, 15.56 shots and 6.88 shots on target with xG 1.88, while Go Ahead at home average 2.06 goals, 13.94 shots and 6.5 shots on target with xG 1.69, indicating higher quality and quantity of chances for the visitors. Defensively Go Ahead concede 1.25 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 38% of games, whereas PSV concede 1.13 goals away with 31% clean sheets, but PSV have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches versus 4 conceded by Go Ahead. Form and momentum also favor PSV — the visitors scored 15 goals in the last 5 matches and average 2.0 points per match in that period, the hosts scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points per match; additionally PSV have 0% of away matches without scoring. Considering 25 vs 8 wins, 92 vs 52 goals, the higher xG 1.88 vs 1.69 and superior possession 58% vs 52%, I predict a PSV victory; I suggest a probability distribution of 65% for the visitors, 20% for a draw and 15% for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonally both teams frequently have matches where both sides score: Go Ahead has 81% such games, PSV 69%, and the league average is 63%, which is a strong seasonal argument for BTTS. Both teams create a lot of chances: Go Ahead averages 19.44 shots and 7.44 on target with xG 2.21, PSV responds with 15.56 shots and 6.88 on target with xG 1.88, which favors goals from both sides. Seasonal goal numbers confirm the attacking profile: Go Ahead averages 3.31 scored and 1.56 conceded per match (52:47 on the season), PSV averages 2.44 scored and 1.13 conceded (92:43), and clean sheet rates are only 13% and 31%. However, in the last 5 matches Go Ahead had only 20% BTTS (averaging 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded), while PSV in that period has 80% BTTS and averages 3.0 scored and 1.8 conceded. Considering the seasonal 81%/69% in favor of both teams, high over2.5 rates (94% for Go Ahead and 75% for PSV), low clean sheets (13% and 31%) and solid xG and shot metrics, I recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams show high offensive potential: Go Ahead Eagles score an average of 3.31 goals at home, PSV records 2.44 goals away, and season xG is 2.21 for the hosts and 1.88 for the visitors. Hosts average 7.44 on-target shots and 19.44 shots per match, PSV has 6.88 on-target and 15.56 shots, with conversion rates of 17% (Go Ahead) and 16% (PSV), which favors goal outcomes. Modeling attack vs defense (hosts xG 2.21 vs xG against PSV 1.37 yields 1.79, and PSV xG 1.88 vs xG against Go Ahead 1.17 yields 1.53) gives about 3.32 expected goals in the match. Season percentages confirm this risk: over 1.5 in 100% of hosts' matches and 94% of PSV matches, over 2.5 in 94% of Go Ahead matches and 75% of PSV matches, and both teams scored in 81% of hosts' matches and 69% of PSV matches. Based on this, the strongest signal is backing Over 1.5 (model ~97% confidence); Over 2.5 is also significant (~84%), while Over 3.5 is less certain (~58%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 2/2 (PSV leading at the break and winning) because PSV led at half-time in 56% of their matches and have an 81% away win rate with an average points per game of 2.5, which strongly supports a lead at the break and an eventual away victory. At half-time PSV have superior scoring metrics: their average points at the break is 1.94 versus the home side’s 1.75, and total points scored by half-time are 31 compared to 28, despite the hosts generating higher xG (2.21 vs 1.88) and more shots per game (19.44 vs 15.56). Hosts score on average 1.63 goals by half-time, PSV 1.25, but the visitors concede only 0.5 goals before the break and in their last five games they have averaged 2.2 goals after half-time, demonstrating their ability to take control in the second half. Both teams frequently score (percentage of matches with both teams scoring: hosts 81%, PSV 69%), so I expect goals, but half-time statistics and overall results favor PSV. Based on this I assign the 2/2 scenario the highest probability (25%), with significant alternatives X/2 (18%) and 1/1 (19%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Go Ahead Eagles | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
PSV is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Go Ahead Eagles · 2 pts / match - PSV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
PSV is 77% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Go Ahead Eagles · 2.88 goals / match - PSV
PSV is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Go Ahead Eagles · 1.34 goals / match - PSV
Go Ahead Eagles scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while PSV keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
PSV scores in 97% of matches (31 of 32 matches), while Go Ahead Eagles keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Go Ahead Eagles
Over / Under - PSV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
PSV is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Go Ahead Eagles · 1.84 pts / match - PSV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Go Ahead Eagles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
PSV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 78%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (20 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Go Ahead Eagles
PSV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Go Ahead Eagles | Liga | PSV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.09 | 3.17 | ▲ 4.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 63% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▲ 84% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 20% | ▲ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 81% | ▲ 97% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 84% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Go Ahead Eagles 0 - 0 - 1 PSV. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV?
The Eredivisie match finished Go Ahead Eagles 1:4 PSV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV?
Go Ahead Eagles score 1.63 goals per game on average and PSV 2.88. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Go Ahead Eagles's matches and 75% of PSV's.
What form are Go Ahead Eagles and PSV in?
Over the last 5 games Go Ahead Eagles have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and PSV 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Go Ahead Eagles vs PSV?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.