Goa vs Mumbai City: match statistics
Goa vs Mumbai City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Goa played Mumbai City in Indian Super League (India). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Goa: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mumbai City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Goa scores 1.13 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Mumbai City scores 1.25 and concedes 0.63. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Goa 50%, Mumbai City 50%. Over 2.5: Goa 13%, Mumbai City 25%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 39%.
xG, shots and style
Mumbai City has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.48. Goa: 12.4 shots per match, Mumbai City: 12.3.
Match halves
Goa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Mumbai City: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Goa: 76-90+ (4 goals). Mumbai City: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Indian Super League: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 39%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back Mumbai City ("2") to win: they lead the table and show clearly superior form—season record 5W-3D-0L, last 5 matches 3W-2D, averaging 2.2 points per match versus Goa’s 1.2. Mumbai concede only 0.5 goals on average away with 50% clean sheets, while Goa concede 1.0 at home with just 25% clean sheets. Attacking xG is comparable (Goa 1.48 xG at home vs Mumbai 1.47 xG away), but Mumbai have scored 7 goals in the last 5 matches versus Goa’s 5 and have not failed to score away (0% matches without a goal) compared to 25% for Goa. Defensively Mumbai allow 1.84 xG away versus Goa’s 1.10 xG at home, indicating some exposure, yet this has translated into only 0.5 goals conceded per match so far. Considering form, lower average goals conceded (0.5 vs 1.0), 50% away clean sheets and consistent attacking efficiency, I assess probabilities at ~60% for the visitors, 20% for the hosts and 20% draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS at 50%, but in the last 5 matches BTTS rose to 60% for Goa and 60% for Mumbai, while league-wide BTTS is 56%, indicating a trend toward both teams scoring. Goa and Mumbai average 1.25 goals per game this season, with seasonal goals conceded 0.75 (Goa) and 0.50 (Mumbai), however xG shows significant chance creation: xG_for 1.57 (Goa) vs 1.47 (Mumbai) and xG_against 1.11 (Goa) vs 1.84 (Mumbai), meaning Mumbai carries greater defensive risk. Shot stats confirm offensive activity — an average of 4.0 shots on target for Goa and 4.75 for Mumbai with 12.75 and 11.75 total shots respectively, and in the last 5 matches Goa scored 5 and conceded 5 goals (1.0/1.0), while Mumbai scored 7 and conceded 4 (1.4/0.8). Form (Goa: dddlw, Mumbai: dwwwd) shows stronger offensive form for Mumbai, but both teams have recently been scoring and conceding regularly; therefore, given the xG signals and last 5 matches, I select BTTS - Yes as more likely (62% vs 38%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model forecasts 1.70 expected goals for Goa (xG attack 1.57 and xG conceded vs Mumbai 1.84 → (1.57+1.84)/2 ≈ 1.70) and 1.30 for Mumbai City (xG attack 1.47 and xG conceded vs Goa 1.11 → ≈1.30), totaling ≈3.00 expected goals. The combined xG of both teams is 1.57+1.47 = 3.04, and a Poisson distribution with λ=3.00 yields roughly a 58% probability of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5 goals). Seasonally both teams have low Over 2.5 rates (25% for home and 25% for away), but in the last 5 matches Goa scored 5 goals (1.0 per match) and Mumbai 7 goals (1.4 per match), together 2.4 goals per match with 60% of matches seeing both teams score in this sample. Chance-creation metrics show a combined 24.5 shots and 8.75 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 10–11%, supporting realistic goal output. Therefore the strongest and most justified signal from the data is playing Over 2.5 — expected 3.00 goals and ≈58% probability of exceeding the line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal comes from Mumbai City's half-time behavior: the visitors led at the break in 3 of 4 away matches (75%) and in 4 of their last 5 matches overall (80%), and seasonally they have not conceded before half-time (average 0.0 goals conceded by the break). Over the full match Mumbai average 2.5 points per game versus Goa's 2.0 and display better form (last 5: 60% wins vs 20% for the hosts), which increases the likelihood that the visitors' lead at the break will translate into a victory. Goa generate slightly higher xG (1.57 vs 1.47) and perform better in second halves (second-half points 1.75 vs 1.25, average 0.75 goals scored after the break vs 0.5 for Mumbai), so a comeback and a draw are possible. Therefore I rate the scenario 'visitors lead at half-time and win' (HT/FT = 2/2) highest, while giving moderate chances to alternatives 'X/2' and '2/X', whereas the hosts leading at half-time and going on to win is unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Goa | Mumbai City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mumbai City is 83% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Goa · 2.2 pts / match - Mumbai City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mumbai City is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Goa · 1.25 goals / match - Mumbai City
Mumbai City is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Goa · 0.63 goals / match - Mumbai City
Goa scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Mumbai City keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Mumbai City scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Goa keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Goa
Over / Under - Mumbai City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mumbai City is 77% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Goa · 2 pts / match - Mumbai City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Goa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mumbai City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Goa
Mumbai City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Indian Super League).
Teams vs league
| Goa | Liga | Mumbai City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.88 | 2.51 | ▼ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 39% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 72% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 79% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Goa 1 - 0 - 1 Mumbai City. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Goa vs Mumbai City?
The Indian Super League match finished Goa 2:0 Mumbai City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Goa and Mumbai City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Goa won 1, Mumbai City won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Goa vs Mumbai City?
Goa score 1.13 goals per game on average and Mumbai City 1.25. The Indian Super League average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Goa's matches and 50% of Mumbai City's.
What form are Goa and Mumbai City in?
Over the last 5 games Goa have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mumbai City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Goa vs Mumbai City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Goa vs Mumbai City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.