Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin: match statistics
Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Goczałkowice Zdrój play Carina Gubin in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Goczałkowice Zdrój: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Carina Gubin: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Goczałkowice Zdrój scores 1.44 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Carina Gubin scores 1.47 and concedes 1.50. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Goczałkowice Zdrój 53%, Carina Gubin 74%. Over 2.5: Goczałkowice Zdrój 65%, Carina Gubin 62%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Goczałkowice Zdrój has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.30. Goczałkowice Zdrój: 7.5 shots per match, Carina Gubin: 2.6.
Match halves
Goczałkowice Zdrój: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.50. Carina Gubin: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Goczałkowice Zdrój: 0-15 (24 goals). Carina Gubin: 0-15 (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back Goczałkowice Zdrój to win: the hosts have scored 42 goals this season versus Carina’s 37 and boast a better defensive record (34 conceded vs 46). At home Goczałkowice concede an average of 0.86 goals per match and have a positive goal difference of +12, while Carina away shows a -6 differential and concedes 1.86 goals per match on average. The hosts generate higher expected goals (xG 1.55 vs 1.26) and register more shots on target (4.25 vs 2.89), giving them an edge in chance quality despite opponents having slightly better conversion (15% vs 13%). The last 5 matches show some form fluctuations: the hosts have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, scoring 4 and conceding 10, while the visitors have 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, scoring 3 and conceding 5; PPG in the last 5 is 0.8 for the hosts and 0.6 for the visitors. Considering the stronger home defence, higher xG and markedly better clean sheet rate (36% vs 14%), I assign 60% to a home win, 25% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 12% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.51 | 4.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carina Gubin is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój · 2 pts / match - Carina Gubin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Goczałkowice Zdrój is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój · 1.5 goals / match - Carina Gubin
Goczałkowice Zdrój scores in 74% of matches (25 of 34 matches), while Carina Gubin keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Carina Gubin scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Goczałkowice Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Goczałkowice Zdrój
Over / Under — Carina Gubin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carina Gubin is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój · 1.5 pts / match - Carina Gubin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Goczałkowice Zdrój - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carina Gubin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (24 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (17 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Goczałkowice Zdrój
Carina Gubin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Goczałkowice Zdrój | Liga | Carina Gubin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.82 | 3.20 | ▼ 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 58% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 35% | 42% | ▲ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 44% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Goczałkowice Zdrój 1 - 0 - 0 Carina Gubin. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Goczałkowice Zdrój 1:2 Carina Gubin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
Goczałkowice Zdrój score 1.44 goals per game on average and Carina Gubin 1.47. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Goczałkowice Zdrój's matches and 74% of Carina Gubin's.
What form are Goczałkowice Zdrój and Carina Gubin in?
Over the last 5 games Goczałkowice Zdrój have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Carina Gubin 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Goczałkowice Zdrój vs Carina Gubin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.