Godoy Cruz vs Chaco For Ever: match statistics

Godoy Cruz have a clear home advantage: they win 64% of such matches, score an average of 1.55 goals and concede just 0.64 per game. The hosts also create significantly higher-quality chances, posting an average xG of 1.86 compared with Chaco For Ever’s 1.01 away from home, while also registering 5.18 shots on target per match against 2.27 for their opponents. Chaco For Ever are indeed enjoying an excellent run of form, with 4 wins and a draw in their last 5 matches and only 2 goals conceded, but their season-long away figures remain poor. The visitors have lost 55% of their away games, score just 0.64 goals per match on the road and have failed to score in as many as 64% of their away fixtures. Godoy Cruz’s solid defence, which keeps a clean sheet in 45% of home appearances, should limit the impact of the visitors’ recent positive trend and tip the balance in favour of the hosts.

The strongest argument for BTTS - No is Chaco For Ever’s poor attacking consistency: the team averages just 0.64 goals per match and failed to score in 64% of its games. BTTS occurs in only 27% of the away team’s matches, significantly below the 64% recorded in Godoy Cruz matches and the league average of 40%. Chaco For Ever improved its attack to 1.6 goals over the last five matches, but at the same time conceded only 0.4 goals per game, while its opponents produced a limited average number of effective attacking moves. Godoy Cruz has a higher season xG, 1.39 compared with 1.01, and should be more likely to score, but the 27% clean-sheet rate for both sides and the low proportion of matches featuring over 2.5 goals, 36% and 18%, support a result in which at least one team fails to score.

The match profile clearly points toward a limited number of goals: 91% of Godoy Cruz matches and 82% of Chaco For Ever games finished under 3.5 goals. The hosts average 1.18 goals, while the visitors score just 0.64, and Chaco For Ever failed to score in as many as 64% of their league appearances. Godoy Cruz have greater attacking potential, as reflected by an xG of 1.39 compared with their opponents’ xG of 1.31, but this is not a matchup that suggests a high-scoring home win. The visitors’ recent form has been stronger defensively, conceding just 2 goals in their last five matches while allowing opponents an xG of 1.01. Although 60% of Godoy Cruz’s last five games went over 2.5 goals, the weight of the full-season data and the visitors’ low attacking efficiency provide the strongest support for Under 3.5 goals.

Chaco For Ever are in clearly better current form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, remain unbeaten, and have conceded an average of just 0.4 goals, while Godoy Cruz have lost 2 of their last 5 fixtures. The visitors tend to start matches well, having led at the break in 60% of their last five appearances and conceding no goals before half-time during that run; the hosts were trailing after 45 minutes in 40% of their matches. Over the entire season, Chaco have weaker attacking numbers, but Godoy Cruz also rarely score before half-time, averaging just 0.27 goals, while both teams kept a clean sheet at the break in 64% and 55% of matches, respectively. The hosts hold an xG advantage of 1.39 to 1.01, but the visitors’ current defensive solidity and form point towards a narrow lead at the break and maintaining that advantage until full-time.