Goiás vs Vila Nova: match statistics
Goiás vs Vila Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Goiás played Vila Nova in Serie B (Brazil). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Goiás: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Vila Nova: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Goiás scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Vila Nova scores 1.71 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Goiás 43%, Vila Nova 86%. Over 2.5: Goiás 43%, Vila Nova 57%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.13. Goiás: 10.7 shots per match, Vila Nova: 14.1.
Match halves
Goiás: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43. Vila Nova: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Goiás: 31-45+ (2 goals). Vila Nova: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vila Nova is the favorite based on hard numbers: the visitors have scored 12 goals this season versus Goiás’s 7 and have netted 9 goals in the last 5 matches compared to the hosts’ 3. In the last 5 fixtures Vila Nova has 3 wins and 2 draws, averaging 2.2 points per game, while Goiás has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses with just 0.2 PPG. Offensive metrics also favor the visitors — Vila Nova averages 13.67 shots and 4.33 on target per match with xG 1.49 away, whereas Goiás at home records 10 shots and 2 on target with xG 1.08. Defensively Goiás looks unstable: conceded 11 goals in the last 5 matches and has 33% of home games without scoring, while Vila Nova conceded 6 in the last 5 and has 0% of away games without a goal. Considering the advantage in goal form (9 vs 3), higher xG (1.49 vs 1.08) and superior PPG (2.2 vs 0.2), I rate an away win at 65% probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
A strong signal for BTTS - Yes is provided by Goiás' season BTTS 100% and Vila Nova's 67% versus a league average BTTS 51%, indicating an above-average likelihood of both teams scoring. In the last 5 matches Vila Nova has BTTS 80% and scored 9 goals (1.8 per match), while Goiás has BTTS 40%, scored 3 goals (0.6 per match) and conceded 11 goals (2.2 per match), showing Goiás' weaker offensive form but high vulnerability to conceding. xG shows 1.55 xG for Goiás and 1.49 xG for Vila Nova, and defensively Vila Nova allows 1.49 xG versus 1.02 xG allowed by Goiás, so both teams create and concede goal-scoring opportunities. Additionally Goiás averages 14.5 shots and 4.5 on target, and Vila Nova 13.67 shots and 4.33 on target with a conversion rate of 12%, confirming chances for both sides; Goiás has no clean sheets this season (CS 0%), which increases the probability of the opponent scoring. Considering Goiás' season 100% BTTS, Vila Nova's 67% BTTS, high xG and Vila Nova's 9 goals in the last 5 matches, I assign a 78% probability to BTTS - Yes and 22% to No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total of around 2.78 goals: home xG is 1.55 versus the away defense xG conceded of 1.49, yielding 1.52 expected goals for Goiás; for Vila Nova the offensive xG 1.49 versus the home defense 1.02 gives 1.26, total 2.78. Goiás have 100% of home matches over 1.5 goals (seasonOver15Percentage_home = 100%), while Vila Nova have 67% away (seasonOver15Percentage_away = 67%), so Over 1.5 is very likely. Shot metrics support this projection: Goiás average 14.5 shots and 4.5 on target, Vila Nova 13.7 and 4.33, with a 12% shot conversion for both teams, which corroborates the realism of the 2.78 expected goals. Over 2.5 has moderate backing — Goiás have 75% of home games over 2.5, Vila Nova 33% away (avg ~54%), and xG=2.78 slightly exceeds the 2.5 threshold, so I estimate the probability of Over 2.5 at about 60%. Over 3.5 is unlikely (season values 25% for Goiás and 33% for Vila Nova and an expected total of 2.78), therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the best bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I predict a half-time draw with Goiás winning the match (X/1). I expect a draw at the break because Goiás scores only 0.25 goals on average in the first half and 50% of their home games are level at half-time, whereas Vila Nova led at the break in 33% of matches (0.25 vs 0.67 first-half goals). After the break Goiás is more dangerous — they average 1.5 goals in the second half and win the second half in 75% of home matches, while Vila Nova averages 1.0 second-half goals and wins 33% of second halves (1.5 vs 1.0; 75% vs 33%). Additionally, xG slightly favors the hosts: Goiás have an xG of 1.55 versus xG against of 1.02, while Vila Nova have xG 1.49 and xG against 1.49, suggesting the hosts create marginally better scoring chances. Although Vila Nova have won 3 of their last 5 matches (60%), the cumulative 0.25 vs 0.67 first-half, 1.5 vs 1.0 second-half and the higher xG make X/1 the strongest and most probable signal, with realistic alternatives being X/X and 2/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Goiás | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Goiás · 2.2 pts / match - Vila Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Goiás · 1.71 goals / match - Vila Nova
Vila Nova is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Goiás · 1.29 goals / match - Vila Nova
Goiás scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Vila Nova scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Goiás keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Goiás
Over / Under - Vila Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Goiás is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Goiás · 0.86 pts / match - Vila Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Goiás - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Goiás
Vila Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Goiás | Liga | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.23 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 43% | 43% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 31% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Goiás 0 - 1 - 1 Vila Nova. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Goiás vs Vila Nova?
The Serie B match finished Goiás 1:0 Vila Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Goiás and Vila Nova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Goiás won 0, Vila Nova won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Goiás vs Vila Nova?
Goiás score 1.00 goals per game on average and Vila Nova 1.71. The Serie B average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Goiás's matches and 86% of Vila Nova's.
What form are Goiás and Vila Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Goiás have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Vila Nova 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Goiás vs Vila Nova?
The statistical background for Goiás vs Vila Nova — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.