Gol Gohar vs Esteghlal Khuzestan: match statistics

Gol Gohar are 6th in the standings, while Esteghlal Khuzestan sit 15th. However, the hosts’ biggest advantage is at home: they have won 2 of their 3 home matches, whereas the visitors are yet to record an away win. Gol Gohar average 1.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded at home, while Esteghlal Khuzestan average just 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded away. In addition, Gol Gohar have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their home matches, and Esteghlal Khuzestan have failed to score in 67% of their away fixtures, which further points in the hosts’ favour. Confidence in the pick is tempered by recent form: Gol Gohar have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, conceding 7 goals in that span, while the visitors have lost just once and conceded 3 goals over the same period. Despite this, the gap in attacking and defensive effectiveness in the respective home and away conditions points to a Gol Gohar win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.

The strongest signal against both teams scoring is Esteghlal Khuzestan’s lack of attacking output: the visitors average 0.33 goals away from home and have failed to score in 67% of those matches. Gol Gohar average 0.75 goals at home, which also provides little basis for expecting them to score, although the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals away. In their last 5 matches, both teams scored 0.6 goals per game, while goals at both ends occurred in 20% of Gol Gohar’s matches and 40% of Esteghlal’s. In addition, the league rate for both teams to score is 31%, with an average of just 1.75 goals per match. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).

Gol Gohar average 0.75 goals per match, while Esteghlal Khuzestan average just 0.33, so both teams have limited attacking potential. Over their last five matches, each side averaged 0.6 goals; during that period, 20% of the home team's matches and none of the away team's matches went Over 2.5 goals. Across the full season, all Gol Gohar matches and 67% of Esteghlal Khuzestan matches finished Under 3.5 goals, even though the visitors concede an average of 1.67 goals. The league average is 1.75 goals per match, so with a projected total of 1.75 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the safest pick.

A half-time draw is the most likely outcome, as Gol Gohar failed to score in the first half in all 4 of their home matches, while Esteghlal Khuzestan have yet to score in any of their 3 away games. The visitors were level at the break in 2 of those 3 matches and went into half-time all square 3 times in their last 5 matches overall. The low scoring output of both teams also supports the prospect of the score remaining level: the hosts average 0.75 goals per game at home, while the visitors score just 0.33 per game away. Gol Gohar did win the second half in 3 of their 4 home matches, but they have not scored after the break in any of their last 5 games overall, while Esteghlal Khuzestan have kept a clean sheet in the second half on 4 occasions. Therefore, a draw at both half-time and full-time has a slight edge over a scenario in which the hosts settle the match after the break.