Gor Mahia vs Mathare United: match statistics
Gor Mahia displays significantly better form and statistics compared to Mathare United. The hosts have an impressive record of 12 wins with only 3 losses this season, and their form in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) confirms the team's stability. At home, Gor Mahia wins 60% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.9, resulting in a positive goal difference of +7. Mathare United has poor away form with only a 30% win rate on the road, averaging only 0.5 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match. Furthermore, the visitors have secured only 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), placing them in a clearly worse situation. The advantage in ball possession (58% vs 54%), higher shot accuracy (4.67 vs 2.5 on target per match), and better xG metrics (0.86 vs 0.67) further support a confident victory for the hosts.
Gor Mahia vs Mathare United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gor Mahia played Mathare United in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Gor Mahia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Mathare United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gor Mahia scores 1.65 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Mathare United scores 0.75 and concedes 0.90. League average: 2.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gor Mahia 40%, Mathare United 30%. Over 2.5: Gor Mahia 40%, Mathare United 20%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Mathare United has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.51. Gor Mahia: 10.3 shots per match, Mathare United: 12.6.
Match halves
Gor Mahia: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40. Mathare United: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Gor Mahia: 0-15 (21 goals). Mathare United: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.04 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia displays significantly better form and statistics compared to Mathare United. The hosts have an impressive record of 12 wins with only 3 losses this season, and their form in the last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws) confirms the team's stability. At home, Gor Mahia wins 60% of their matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals while conceding only 0.9, resulting in a positive goal difference of +7. Mathare United has poor away form with only a 30% win rate on the road, averaging only 0.5 goals scored and 0.6 goals conceded per match. Furthermore, the visitors have secured only 4 points in their last 5 matches (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), placing them in a clearly worse situation. The advantage in ball possession (58% vs 54%), higher shot accuracy (4.67 vs 2.5 on target per match), and better xG metrics (0.86 vs 0.67) further support a confident victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gor Mahia | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gor Mahia is 86% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Gor Mahia · 1.4 pts / match - Mathare United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 120% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - Gor Mahia · 0.75 goals / match - Mathare United
Gor Mahia is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Gor Mahia · 0.9 goals / match - Mathare United
Gor Mahia scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Mathare United keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
Mathare United scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% (10 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
Over / Under - Mathare United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Gor Mahia · 1.05 pts / match - Mathare United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mathare United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gor Mahia
Mathare United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Gor Mahia | Liga | Mathare United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 2.04 | ▼ 1.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 34% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 40% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gor Mahia 1 - 0 - 0 Mathare United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Gor Mahia 2:1 Mathare United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?
Gor Mahia score 1.65 goals per game on average and Mathare United 0.75. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Gor Mahia's matches and 30% of Mathare United's.
What form are Gor Mahia and Mathare United in?
Over the last 5 games Gor Mahia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Mathare United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gor Mahia vs Mathare United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gor Mahia vs Mathare United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.