Gor Mahia vs Shabana: match statistics
Gor Mahia presents solid home form with a 67% home win rate and an impressive 39:16 goal difference across the season. The hosts maintain an advantage in ball possession (57%) and scoring efficiency at their own stadium (1.75 goals per game), confirming their offensive potential. Shabana, despite decent away form (50% wins), features a high percentage of away draws (42%), suggesting a defensive approach. The recent form of both teams is comparable (Gor Mahia 2.0 PPG vs Shabana 2.4 PPG), but the hosts' H2H advantage on home turf and a superior goal difference (+11 vs +4) work in their favor. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Gor Mahia, though a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the visitors' defensive strength.
Gor Mahia vs Shabana: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gor Mahia played Shabana in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Gor Mahia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Shabana: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gor Mahia scores 1.75 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Shabana scores 1.21 and concedes 1.04. League average: 2.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gor Mahia 46%, Shabana 46%. Over 2.5: Gor Mahia 46%, Shabana 38%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Gor Mahia has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.39. Gor Mahia: 10.5 shots per match, Shabana: 10.2.
Match halves
Gor Mahia: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.33. Shabana: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.17.
Goals by minute
Gor Mahia: 0-15 (30 goals). Shabana: 0-15 (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Kenyan Premier League: 2.07 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia presents solid home form with a 67% home win rate and an impressive 39:16 goal difference across the season. The hosts maintain an advantage in ball possession (57%) and scoring efficiency at their own stadium (1.75 goals per game), confirming their offensive potential. Shabana, despite decent away form (50% wins), features a high percentage of away draws (42%), suggesting a defensive approach. The recent form of both teams is comparable (Gor Mahia 2.0 PPG vs Shabana 2.4 PPG), but the hosts' H2H advantage on home turf and a superior goal difference (+11 vs +4) work in their favor. I expect a closely contested match with a slight edge for Gor Mahia, though a draw is also a realistic scenario due to the visitors' defensive strength.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gor Mahia | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gor Mahia is 44% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Gor Mahia · 1.8 pts / match - Shabana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Gor Mahia · 1.21 goals / match - Shabana
Gor Mahia is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Gor Mahia · 1.04 goals / match - Shabana
Gor Mahia scores in 88% of matches (21 of 24 matches), while Shabana keeps a clean sheet in 50% (12 of 24 matches).
Shabana scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
Over / Under - Shabana
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Gor Mahia · 1.38 pts / match - Shabana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shabana - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (30 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (22 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gor Mahia
Shabana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Gor Mahia | Liga | Shabana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.46 | 2.07 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | • 46% | 47% | • 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 35% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 29% | 23% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 33% | 24% | • 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gor Mahia 0 - 1 - 0 Shabana. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Gor Mahia 2:1 Shabana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
Gor Mahia score 1.75 goals per game on average and Shabana 1.21. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Gor Mahia's matches and 46% of Shabana's.
What form are Gor Mahia and Shabana in?
Over the last 5 games Gor Mahia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Shabana 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gor Mahia vs Shabana?
The statistical background for Gor Mahia vs Shabana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.