Gorica vs Beltinci: match statistics
Gorica vs Beltinci: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica played Beltinci in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match was played on 3 April 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Gorica: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Beltinci: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 0.86 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Beltinci scores 1.76 and concedes 0.76. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 67%, Beltinci 43%. Over 2.5: Gorica 57%, Beltinci 52%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Beltinci has higher xG: 1.78 vs 1.30. Gorica: 10.2 shots per match, Beltinci: 13.8.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.48. Beltinci: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 31-45+ (4 goals). Beltinci: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (Beltinci). The 5th-placed side shows clearly superior metrics: 12 wins and 37 goals this season versus Gorica’s just 1 win and 18 goals. In their last 5 matches Gorica have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses with 6 goals scored, while Beltinci are unbeaten in five (2 wins, 3 draws) with 5 goals scored and only 2 conceded. The decisive advantage for the visitors is defense — Beltinci concede 0.4 goals per away match and keep clean sheets in 70% of games, whereas Gorica concede 1.4 goals at home and manage just 20% clean sheets. Quality of chances also favors Beltinci: away average xG 1.65 with 5.3 shots on target, versus the hosts’ xG 1.35 and 4 shots on target, and conversion rates of 11% vs 9%. For these reasons I assess probabilities as 60% for an away win, 30% for a draw and 10% for a Gorica win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Beltinci demonstrate a very solid defense: they concede an average of 0.4 goals away and keep a clean sheet in 70% of away matches, with a season BTTS of only 20%. Gorica have a strong home attack (avg 2.09 goals scored) and a season BTTS of 64% and BTTS 80% in the last 5 matches, but they also concede an average of 1.09 goals at home and have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 games. xG comparison shows both teams create chances (Gorica xG_for 1.9 vs Beltinci xG_against 1.12; Beltinci xG_for 1.65 vs Gorica xG_against 1.16), however actual goal figures favor Beltinci’s defense. Additionally, this season Beltinci have scored 37 and conceded 16, while Gorica have 18 scored and 33 conceded, suggesting Beltinci have the edge in controlling results. As a result, the stronger signal from the available data is a 'No' for BTTS (I assess 70% for no vs 30% for yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
A model based on xG and seasonal averages estimates total expected goals at approximately 2.91 — 1.51 for Gorica and 1.40 for Beltinci. Gorica averages 2.09 goals per match (xG 1.90), averages 15.0 shots with 5.82 on target, and 73% of their matches have gone Over 2.5 goals; Beltinci record 1.40 goals (xG 1.65) but keep 70% clean sheets and concede only 0.4 goals on average. From a Poisson distribution with λ=2.91 the probabilities are: over 1.5 goals ≈79%, over 2.5 ≈56% and over 3.5 ≈33%. Additionally the home side have 82% of matches over 1.5 and 64% of games with Both Teams To Score, which increases confidence in an early breach of the 1.5 line. Considering the expected total of 2.91 and the seasonal indicators (Gorica: 82% over1.5, 73% over2.5; Beltinci: 70% CS), the strongest signal from the data is an Over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Beltinci appear to be the favorites: they have a 70% win rate this season and led at the break in 60% of matches, and they collected 22 points at half-time compared to Gorica’s 17. The visitors’ defense is compact — Beltinci concede only 0.4 goals per match on average and 0.1 goals by half-time, and they have 70% clean sheets this season, whereas Gorica concede 1.09 goals per match and 0.64 by half-time. However, Gorica create and convert chances (on average 2.09 goals per match and 1.09 by half-time, xG 1.9 versus Beltinci’s 1.65), which suggests the hosts can score, but the visitors have the edge in efficiency and defense. For that reason the safest scenario is the visitors leading at the break and winning the match — I assign 45% to 2/2, 18% to X/2 and 12% to X/X; other configurations are less likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Beltinci | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Beltinci is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Gorica · 1.8 pts / match - Beltinci
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Beltinci is 105% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Gorica · 1.76 goals / match - Beltinci
Beltinci is 107% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.57 goals / match - Gorica · 0.76 goals / match - Beltinci
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Beltinci keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Beltinci scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gorica
Over / Under - Beltinci
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Beltinci is 130% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.81 pts / match - Gorica · 1.86 pts / match - Beltinci
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Beltinci - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Beltinci
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Beltinci | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gorica 0 - 0 - 1 Beltinci. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Beltinci?
The 2. SNL match finished Gorica 2:3 Beltinci. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Beltinci?
Gorica score 0.86 goals per game on average and Beltinci 1.76. The 2. SNL average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Gorica's matches and 43% of Beltinci's.
What form are Gorica and Beltinci in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Beltinci 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Beltinci?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Beltinci: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.