Gorica vs Hajduk Split: match statistics
Hajduk Split are in 2nd place in the table and are showing significantly better form than Gorica, who occupy 8th position. The hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.2 points per game, while the visitors have averaged 1.6 points per game. Hajduk Split boast an impressive away record with a 56% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), whereas Gorica lose 60% of their home matches with a negative goal difference (-5). The xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.55 vs 1.38), and their advantage in possession (56% vs 52%) and defensive efficiency (44% clean sheets away) further strengthen their position as favorites. Considering Gorica's disastrous run of 4 consecutive defeats and Hajduk Split's solid form, an away win is the most likely outcome of this match.
Gorica vs Hajduk Split: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica played Hajduk Split in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Gorica: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hajduk Split: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 1.16 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. Hajduk Split scores 1.58 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 68%, Hajduk Split 42%. Over 2.5: Gorica 53%, Hajduk Split 47%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Hajduk Split has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.39. Gorica: 11.5 shots per match, Hajduk Split: 14.9.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.47. Hajduk Split: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.05.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 16-30 (8 goals). Hajduk Split: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hajduk Split are in 2nd place in the table and are showing significantly better form than Gorica, who occupy 8th position. The hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, averaging just 0.2 points per game, while the visitors have averaged 1.6 points per game. Hajduk Split boast an impressive away record with a 56% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3), whereas Gorica lose 60% of their home matches with a negative goal difference (-5). The xG statistics also favor the visitors (1.55 vs 1.38), and their advantage in possession (56% vs 52%) and defensive efficiency (44% clean sheets away) further strengthen their position as favorites. Considering Gorica's disastrous run of 4 consecutive defeats and Hajduk Split's solid form, an away win is the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hajduk Split is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Gorica · 1.6 pts / match - Hajduk Split
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hajduk Split is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Gorica · 1.58 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Hajduk Split is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.53 goals / match - Gorica · 1 goals / match - Hajduk Split
Gorica scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Hajduk Split keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
Hajduk Split scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gorica
Over / Under - Hajduk Split
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 26%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hajduk Split - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Hajduk Split
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Hajduk Split | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.68 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 21% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Gorica 0 - 0 - 2 Hajduk Split. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Hajduk Split?
The Prva HNL match finished Gorica 1:0 Hajduk Split. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Gorica and Hajduk Split?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Gorica won 0, Hajduk Split won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Hajduk Split?
Gorica score 1.16 goals per game on average and Hajduk Split 1.58. The Prva HNL average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Gorica's matches and 42% of Hajduk Split's.
What form are Gorica and Hajduk Split in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hajduk Split 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Hajduk Split?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.