Gorica vs Ilirija: match statistics
Gorica vs Ilirija: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorica play Ilirija in 2. SNL (Slovenia). The match date is 15 May 2026 at 18:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Gorica: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ilirija: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorica scores 1.03 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Ilirija scores 1.27 and concedes 1.73. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorica 60%, Ilirija 70%. Over 2.5: Gorica 53%, Ilirija 60%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Ilirija has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.32. Gorica: 9.9 shots per match, Ilirija: 11.3.
Match halves
Gorica: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.57. Ilirija: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Gorica: 16-30 (7 goals). Ilirija: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. SNL: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The match favorite is Ilirija: in the last 5 games the visitors have won 3 times and scored 8 goals (1.6 goals per game) and average 1.8 points per game, while Gorica in their last 5 have a 2-1-2 record with 10 goals (2.0 per game) and 1.4 pts/game. Over a longer period Ilirija creates more high-quality chances — away xG averages 1.51 versus Gorica’s home xG of 1.29, and average shots are 11.57 vs 9.79 with 4.64 shots on target vs 4.0, translating into higher efficiency (conversion 12% vs 11%). Additionally, the visitors are less likely to finish without a goal (FTS 7% vs 21% for Gorica), so Ilirija’s attack is more reliable, although the hosts have a slightly better average home defense (1.57 goals conceded vs 1.71 for the visitors). Gorica, however, often collects points via draws — data shows 57% of home matches ending in a draw and 0% home wins according to the given indicators, which increases the chance of a shared point. Based on this I expect an even game with a slight edge to Ilirija, therefore I tip an away win while noting a significant risk of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorica | Ilirija | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorica is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Gorica · 0.6 pts / match - Ilirija
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ilirija is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Gorica · 1.27 goals / match - Ilirija
Gorica is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Gorica · 1.73 goals / match - Ilirija
Gorica scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Ilirija keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
Ilirija scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Gorica
Over / Under — Ilirija
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilirija is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Gorica · 1.1 pts / match - Ilirija
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorica - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ilirija - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorica
Ilirija
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. SNL).
Teams vs league
| Gorica | Liga | Ilirija | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.53 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 50% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 81% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gorica 0 - 1 - 0 Ilirija. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorica vs Ilirija?
The 2. SNL match finished Gorica 1:0 Ilirija. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Ilirija?
Gorica score 1.03 goals per game on average and Ilirija 1.27. The 2. SNL average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Gorica's matches and 70% of Ilirija's.
What form are Gorica and Ilirija in?
Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ilirija 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Ilirija?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Ilirija: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.