Gorica vs Istra 1961: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Gorica played Istra 1961 in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Gorica: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Istra 1961: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Gorica scores 1.38 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Istra 1961 scores 1.08 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.64 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Gorica 77%, Istra 1961 62%. Over 2.5: Gorica 62%, Istra 1961 62%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Gorica has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.25. Gorica: 12.5 shots per match, Istra 1961: 9.7.

Match halves

Gorica: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.69. Istra 1961: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.62.

Goals by minute

Gorica: 76-90+ (6 goals). Istra 1961: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
GoricaIstra 1961
12Shots14
GoricaIstra 1961
6Shots on target5
GoricaIstra 1961
1.4xG1.66
GoricaIstra 1961
2Corners2
GoricaIstra 1961
29Dangerous attacks58
GoricaIstra 1961
9Fouls13
GoricaIstra 1961
3Cards2
GoricaIstra 1961

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.38Goals scored / match1.08
GoricaIstra 1961
1.62Goals conceded / match1.31
GoricaIstra 1961
49%Average possession48%
GoricaIstra 1961
4.23Shots on target / match3.38
GoricaIstra 1961

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.54Shots per match9.69
GoricaIstra 1961
4.23Shots on target3.38
GoricaIstra 1961
11%Shot conversion11.1%
GoricaIstra 1961
49%Possession48%
GoricaIstra 1961
1.49xG for1.25
GoricaIstra 1961
1.5xG against1.91
GoricaIstra 1961

Shooting quality

Gorica: BalancedIstra 1961: Balanced
GoricaIstra 1961
Accuracy (shots on target)34%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Istra 1961 is 150% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Gorica · 2 pts / match - Istra 1961

Gorica
LLLWD
Season result split
31% W23% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-6
1.15 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-4
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.46Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Istra 1961
WLWDW
Season result split
38% W31% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-4
1.46 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 2.02BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gorica is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.38 goals / match - Gorica · 1.08 goals / match - Istra 1961

Istra 1961 is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.62 goals / match - Gorica · 1.31 goals / match - Istra 1961

Gorica scoring profile: very strong

Gorica scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Istra 1961 keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 matches).

Istra 1961 scoring profile: very strong

Istra 1961 scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Gorica keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 13 matches).

18Goals scored (season)14
GoricaIstra 1961
21Goals conceded (season)17
GoricaIstra 1961
3Average goals in match2.38
GoricaIstra 1961
8Goals scored (last 5)6
GoricaIstra 1961
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
GoricaIstra 1961

How often they score at least...

77%1 goal77%
GoricaIstra 1961
38%2 goals31%
GoricaIstra 1961
15%3 goals0%
GoricaIstra 1961
8%4 goals0%
GoricaIstra 1961

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal77%
GoricaIstra 1961
38%2 goals38%
GoricaIstra 1961
23%3 goals15%
GoricaIstra 1961
0%4 goals0%
GoricaIstra 1961

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time31%
GoricaIstra 1961
0%BTTS in both halves0%
GoricaIstra 1961
15%Scored in both halves8%
GoricaIstra 1961

BTTS and goal count

62%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
GoricaIstra 1961
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
GoricaIstra 1961
100%BTTS - last 560%
GoricaIstra 1961

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
GoricaIstra 1961
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
GoricaIstra 1961
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
GoricaIstra 1961

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
GoricaIstra 1961
54%Min. 2 goals after half-time31%
GoricaIstra 1961
23%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
GoricaIstra 1961

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gorica is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.38 pts / match - Gorica · 0.77 pts / match - Istra 1961

Gorica - half-time state
38% leading23% draw38% trailing
Istra 1961 - half-time state
8% leading54% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.38Points per match (1st half)0.77
GoricaIstra 1961
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.46
GoricaIstra 1961
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.77
GoricaIstra 1961
1.31Average goals (1st half)1.23
GoricaIstra 1961
46%Clean sheet before half-time31%
GoricaIstra 1961
62%No goal before half-time62%
GoricaIstra 1961

After half-time (2nd half)

0.77Points per match (2nd half)1.46
GoricaIstra 1961
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
GoricaIstra 1961
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.54
GoricaIstra 1961
1.69Average goals (2nd half)1.15
GoricaIstra 1961
23%Clean sheet after half-time54%
GoricaIstra 1961
46%No goal after half-time54%
GoricaIstra 1961

Gorica - second-half results

15% W31% D54% L
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding82%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Istra 1961 - second-half results

38% W31% D31% L
10
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.77
PPG before half-time
Lead holding475%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gorica - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match0.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.2
Average goals in match1.62.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%0%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Istra 1961 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.60.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Gorica
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
5
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
3
7
46-60
0
5
61-75
6
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Istra 1961
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
5
31-45
3
0
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-63%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Gorica

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
149%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Istra 1961

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.54
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

GoricaLigaIstra 1961
Average goals in match 3.002.64 2.38
Both teams scored 77%59% 62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%54% 62%
Clean sheets 0%24% 23%
Goal before half-time 77%77% 77%
Goal after half-time 92%81% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.64
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Istra 1961Yellow cardVille Koski
  2. GoricaYellow cardŽan Trontelj
  3. Istra 1961Yellow cardDario Maresic
  4. Istra 1961SubstitutionOn: Smail PrevljakOff: Alejandro Jay Agustín
  5. GoricaSubstitutionOn: Mateo LešOff: Luka Vrzić
  6. GoricaYellow cardJurica Pršir
  7. Istra 1961SubstitutionOn: Raul KumarOff: Mohamed Nasraoui
  8. GoricaSubstitutionOn: Vanja PelkoOff: Filip Čuić
  9. GoricaYellow cardIker Pozo La Rosa

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ante ČulinaMatches officiated: 20
4.45Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins30%Draws20%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Gorica 0 - 0 - 1 Istra 1961. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

NK Istra 1961
1 : 0
HNK Gorica

FAQ

What was the result of Gorica vs Istra 1961?

The Prva HNL match finished Gorica 1:0 Istra 1961. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Gorica vs Istra 1961?

Gorica score 1.38 goals per game on average and Istra 1961 1.08. The Prva HNL average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 77% of Gorica's matches and 62% of Istra 1961's.

What form are Gorica and Istra 1961 in?

Over the last 5 games Gorica have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Istra 1961 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorica vs Istra 1961?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorica vs Istra 1961: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.