Gorilla vs Etincelles: match statistics
Gorilla vs Etincelles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Gorilla played Etincelles in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 22 May 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Gorilla: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Etincelles: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Gorilla scores 0.88 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Etincelles scores 0.81 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Gorilla 56%, Etincelles 56%. Over 2.5: Gorilla 44%, Etincelles 34%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
xG, shots and style
Etincelles has higher xG: 1.22 vs 0.89. Gorilla: 5.1 shots per match, Etincelles: 7.8.
Match halves
Gorilla: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.31. Etincelles: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.34.
Goals by minute
Gorilla: 16-30 (7 goals). Etincelles: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 37%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gorilla holds a table and seasonal-experience advantage: they sit 11th with 9 wins this season, while Etincelles are 16th with 5 wins. In attack both teams average 1.00 goal in their respective matches (Gorilla at home 1.00, Etincelles away 1.00), but Gorilla is more efficient — shot conversion 18% versus Etincelles’ 12%, despite the visitors taking more shots (8.38 vs 5.93) and having a slightly higher xG (1.21 vs 0.95). Defensively the hosts perform better: Gorilla concede 1.07 goals per game at home with an xG against of 1.07, whereas Etincelles concede 1.63 goals away with an xG against of 1.33. Over the last 5 matches Gorilla average 1.6 points per game and have scored 7 goals, Etincelles average 1.2 points and 6 goals; however the visitors draw as much as 50% of their away games, which increases the likelihood of a shared point. Considering the stronger home defence, higher shot efficiency and superior win count (9 vs 5), I back a home victory, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor the BTTS scenario: Etincelles has a seasonal BTTS rate of 69% versus Gorilla’s 44%, and Gorilla have seen BTTS in 100% of their last 5 matches compared to Etincelles’ 60% in their last 5. Both teams produce similar xG per game: Gorilla xG_for 1.24 vs Etincelles 1.21, with xG_against 1.09 vs 1.33, giving a combined xG of about 2.45 which suggests goal exchange. Etincelles concedes on average 1.63 goals per game (Gorilla concedes 0.81), and Etincelles only has 13% clean sheets versus Gorilla’s 38%, increasing the likelihood Etincelles will concede; at the same time Gorilla have averaged 1.4 goals in the last 5 matches (7 goals in 5). Additionally, Gorilla average 3.31 shots on target versus Etincelles 2.75, and Etincelles’ shot conversion 12% versus Gorilla’s 8% indicates both teams have realistic scoring chances; given these numbers and clear form signals, I assess the probability of BTTS at 75%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The teams’ average xG point to a moderate number of scoring chances: xG_for 1.24 for Gorilla and 1.21 for Etincelles, and averaging attack and opponent defense yields expected goals ≈1.29 (Gorilla) and ≈1.15 (Etincelles), total ≈2.44. A Poisson model on a 2.44 total implies roughly a 70% probability of over 1.5 goals, about 44% for Over 2.5 goals and around 23% for Over 3.5 goals. Seasonal indicators support this view: season-to-date Over 1.5 occurred in 50% of home matches and 81% of away matches, whereas Over 2.5 is only 25% (Gorilla) and 44% (Etincelles), indicating a higher likelihood of 2+ goals than 3+. A risk factor is Gorilla’s low finishing: they average 0.63 scored goals this season versus xG 1.24 and a shot conversion rate of 8%, which may depress the home side’s actual goals; conversely Etincelles average 1.0 goal this season with a higher conversion rate of 12%. As a result the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, ‘over’) with roughly a 70% edge versus under 30%, while the 2.5 line (over ~44% / under ~56%) does not present as clear an advantage.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal is the Gorilla first-half: in the last 5 matches the hosts led at the break in 5 of 5 games (100%), scoring an average of 1.4 goals by half-time and conceding only 0.2. Over the season the hosts average 0.44 goals by half-time and 0.19 conceded, and they keep a half-time clean sheet in 81% of matches, which supports the hosts leading after 45 minutes. Etincelles, however, are dangerous after the break — they score an average of 0.53 goals in the second half and 80% of games see a goal after half-time, and in the last 5 matches the visitors average 1.6 points after the break, which increases the risk of a turnaround. Considering the similar xG (1.24 vs 1.21) and the higher number of Gorilla shots on target (3.31 vs 2.75), the most likely scenario is 1/1 (lead at the break and home win), so I assign it the highest probability. At the same time I leave a moderate probability for 1/X and 1/2 due to Etincelles' second-half strength.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Gorilla | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.49 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gorilla is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Gorilla · 1.2 pts / match - Etincelles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gorilla is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Gorilla · 0.81 goals / match - Etincelles
Gorilla is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Gorilla · 1.22 goals / match - Etincelles
Gorilla scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Etincelles scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Gorilla keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Gorilla
Over / Under - Etincelles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gorilla is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.34 pts / match - Gorilla · 1.19 pts / match - Etincelles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Gorilla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Gorilla
Etincelles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Gorilla | Liga | Etincelles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.03 | 2.11 | • 2.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 37% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 34% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 61% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Gorilla 0 - 1 - 0 Etincelles. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Gorilla vs Etincelles?
The National Soccer League match finished Gorilla 0:4 Etincelles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Gorilla vs Etincelles?
Gorilla score 0.88 goals per game on average and Etincelles 0.81. The National Soccer League average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Gorilla's matches and 56% of Etincelles's.
What form are Gorilla and Etincelles in?
Over the last 5 games Gorilla have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Etincelles 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Gorilla vs Etincelles?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Gorilla vs Etincelles: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.