Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec: match statistics
The match between Górnik Łęczna and Stal Mielec promises to be a clash of two teams in a difficult league situation, sitting in 18th and 17th place respectively. Both teams are showing very poor form – neither has won in their last five matches, with a points average of just 0.2 per match. Górnik Łęczna holds a minimal home advantage, yet their home effectiveness is low (10% win rate), while Stal Mielec loses as many as 70% of away matches. The key factor is the defense of both squads – the hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, while the visitors concede 2.6 goals away, suggesting a high-scoring encounter. Considering the equally poor disposition of both teams, Górnik's high draw rate (30% at home), and the desperate fight for points in the relegation zone, a share of the points seems the most probable result.
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Górnik Łęczna played Stal Mielec in 1. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Górnik Łęczna: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Stal Mielec: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Górnik Łęczna scores 1.15 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Stal Mielec scores 1.15 and concedes 2.25. League average: 3.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Górnik Łęczna 75%, Stal Mielec 70%. Over 2.5: Górnik Łęczna 70%, Stal Mielec 70%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Górnik Łęczna has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.45. Górnik Łęczna: 13.2 shots per match, Stal Mielec: 12.5.
Match halves
Górnik Łęczna: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Stal Mielec: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Górnik Łęczna: 76-90+ (8 goals). Stal Mielec: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Liga: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match between Górnik Łęczna and Stal Mielec promises to be a clash of two teams in a difficult league situation, sitting in 18th and 17th place respectively. Both teams are showing very poor form – neither has won in their last five matches, with a points average of just 0.2 per match. Górnik Łęczna holds a minimal home advantage, yet their home effectiveness is low (10% win rate), while Stal Mielec loses as many as 70% of away matches. The key factor is the defense of both squads – the hosts concede an average of 1.8 goals per game at home, while the visitors concede 2.6 goals away, suggesting a high-scoring encounter. Considering the equally poor disposition of both teams, Górnik's high draw rate (30% at home), and the desperate fight for points in the relegation zone, a share of the points seems the most probable result.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Górnik Łęczna | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Górnik Łęczna is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Górnik Łęczna · 2.25 goals / match - Stal Mielec
Górnik Łęczna scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Stal Mielec keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
Stal Mielec scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Górnik Łęczna keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Górnik Łęczna
Over / Under - Stal Mielec
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Górnik Łęczna is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Górnik Łęczna · 0.8 pts / match - Stal Mielec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Górnik Łęczna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stal Mielec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Górnik Łęczna
Stal Mielec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Górnik Łęczna | Liga | Stal Mielec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.15 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.40 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 63% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 19% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 77% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 78% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Górnik Łęczna 0 - 1 - 0 Stal Mielec. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
The 1. Liga match finished Górnik Łęczna 1:1 Stal Mielec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.15 goals per game on average and Stal Mielec 1.15. The 1. Liga average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Górnik Łęczna's matches and 70% of Stal Mielec's.
What form are Górnik Łęczna and Stal Mielec in?
Over the last 5 games Górnik Łęczna have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Stal Mielec 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Mielec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.