Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola: match statistics
Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Górnik Łęczna played Stal Stalowa Wola in 2. Liga (Poland). The match was played on 17 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Górnik. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Górnik Łęczna: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Stal Stalowa Wola: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Górnik Łęczna scores 1.91 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Stal Stalowa Wola scores 1.73 and concedes 2.09. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Górnik Łęczna 45%, Stal Stalowa Wola 55%. Over 2.5: Górnik Łęczna 55%, Stal Stalowa Wola 73%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Górnik Łęczna has higher xG: 1.76 vs 1.63. Górnik Łęczna: 15.4 shots per match, Stal Stalowa Wola: 13.0.
Match halves
Górnik Łęczna: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.18. Stal Stalowa Wola: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.18.
Goals by minute
Górnik Łęczna: 76-90+ (6 goals). Stal Stalowa Wola: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Liga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Górnik Łęczna sit 3rd and have won 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Stal Stalowa Wola, 13th in the table, have lost 5 of their last 6 away fixtures. The hosts average 2.6 goals scored at home and convert 16% of their shots, while the visitors average 1 goal away from home with a conversion rate of 7%. The defensive gap is equally clear: Górnik concede an average of 1 goal at home, compared with 2.67 for Stal away. The hosts have scored 11 and conceded 5 goals across their last five matches, while the visitors have scored 10 and conceded as many as 14. Stal’s away xG of 1.81 suggests they can create chances, but their poor finishing and high goals-against tally point to a Górnik win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Górnik Łęczna score an average of 2.6 goals at home, while Stal Stalowa Wola concede 2.67 on the road, making a home goal very likely. The visitors’ chances of scoring are harder to call: they failed to score in 33% of their away matches, and Górnik kept a clean sheet in 40% of their home games. However, Stal’s attack supports the scenario in which both teams score: their average away xG is 1.81, and they scored an average of 2 goals in their last 5 matches. BTTS - Yes landed in 60% of Górnik’s home games and 50% of Stal’s away games, so I’m backing BTTS - Yes, albeit with a moderate edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In the teams’ previous meetings, at least 2 goals were scored every time, making Over 1.5 the strongest indicator, although this streak does not guarantee a result. Górnik average 2.6 goals at home, while Stal concede 2.67 away, pointing to strong scoring potential for the hosts. In their last 5 matches, Górnik scored an average of 2.2 goals, while Stal conceded 2.8; over the same period, matches involving both teams went over the 2.5-goal line in 80% of cases. With a projected 2.25 goals for Górnik and 1.15 for Stal, I expect 3.4 goals in total, but Over 1.5 offers a greater margin of safety than higher goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Górnik Łęczna led at the break in 3 of their 5 home matches, while Stal Stalowa Wola were trailing at half-time in 5 of their 6 away matches, pointing to an early home advantage. In first halves, Górnik concede an average of 0.2 goals at home, compared with 1.83 goals conceded by Stal away. The case for Górnik holding their lead is further supported by their 60% home win rate, against Stal’s 83% away loss rate, as well as the home side’s average of 2.6 goals scored compared with 2.67 goals conceded by the visitors. Confidence in the pick is tempered by the fact that Górnik led at the break only once in their last 5 matches overall, making a half-time draw a significant alternative. Nevertheless, the combination of Górnik’s clear first-half advantage at home and Stal’s poor away record makes a home lead at half-time followed by a home win the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Górnik Łęczna | Stal Stalowa Wola | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Górnik Łęczna is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Górnik Łęczna · 1.4 pts / match - Stal Stalowa Wola
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Górnik Łęczna is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.91 goals / match - Górnik Łęczna · 1.73 goals / match - Stal Stalowa Wola
Górnik Łęczna is 77% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Górnik Łęczna · 2.09 goals / match - Stal Stalowa Wola
Górnik Łęczna scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Stal Stalowa Wola keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
Stal Stalowa Wola scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Górnik Łęczna keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Górnik Łęczna
Over / Under - Stal Stalowa Wola
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Górnik Łęczna is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Górnik Łęczna · 1.09 pts / match - Stal Stalowa Wola
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Górnik Łęczna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stal Stalowa Wola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Górnik Łęczna
Stal Stalowa Wola
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Górnik Łęczna | Liga | Stal Stalowa Wola | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.09 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 22% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Stal Stalowa WolaGoalMaksymilian HebelAssist: Kuba Nawrocki
- Stal Stalowa WolaGoalMateusz RadeckiAssist: Patryk Zaucha
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The 2. Liga match finished Górnik Łęczna 1:2 Stal Stalowa Wola. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
Górnik Łęczna score 1.91 goals per game on average and Stal Stalowa Wola 1.73. The 2. Liga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Górnik Łęczna's matches and 55% of Stal Stalowa Wola's.
What form are Górnik Łęczna and Stal Stalowa Wola in?
Over the last 5 games Górnik Łęczna have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola?
The statistical background for Górnik Łęczna vs Stal Stalowa Wola — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.