Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań: match statistics
Górnik Zabrze showcases impressive home form with a 70% win rate and a +11 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.1 goals per match at home with an xG of 2.2, indicating high efficiency. Lech Poznań performs significantly worse in away matches, with a mere 33% win rate and a high percentage of draws (44%). The visitors struggle to score goals away from home (averaging 1.33 goals with an xG of 1.85), and their recent form (1 point per match) raises concerns. The difference in ball possession dominance is minimal, but Górnik's significantly better offensive and defensive statistics at home favor the hosts. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for Górnik Zabrze, although it is not out of the question that Lech will put up a tough fight and secure a draw.
Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Górnik Zabrze played Lech Poznań in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Górnik Zabrze: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Lech Poznań: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Górnik Zabrze scores 1.63 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Lech Poznań scores 1.58 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Górnik Zabrze 58%, Lech Poznań 74%. Over 2.5: Górnik Zabrze 58%, Lech Poznań 68%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Lech Poznań has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.90. Górnik Zabrze: 16.6 shots per match, Lech Poznań: 16.9.
Match halves
Górnik Zabrze: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.00. Lech Poznań: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Górnik Zabrze: 31-45+ (7 goals). Lech Poznań: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Górnik Zabrze showcases impressive home form with a 70% win rate and a +11 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.1 goals per match at home with an xG of 2.2, indicating high efficiency. Lech Poznań performs significantly worse in away matches, with a mere 33% win rate and a high percentage of draws (44%). The visitors struggle to score goals away from home (averaging 1.33 goals with an xG of 1.85), and their recent form (1 point per match) raises concerns. The difference in ball possession dominance is minimal, but Górnik's significantly better offensive and defensive statistics at home favor the hosts. Considering all factors, I expect a victory for Górnik Zabrze, although it is not out of the question that Lech will put up a tough fight and secure a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Górnik Zabrze | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lech Poznań is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Górnik Zabrze · 1 pts / match - Lech Poznań
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Górnik Zabrze is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze · 1.58 goals / match - Lech Poznań
Górnik Zabrze scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Lech Poznań keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Lech Poznań scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Górnik Zabrze keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Górnik Zabrze
Over / Under - Lech Poznań
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Górnik Zabrze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lech Poznań - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Górnik Zabrze
Lech Poznań
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Górnik Zabrze | Liga | Lech Poznań | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.95 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.16 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 61% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 55% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Górnik Zabrze 0 - 0 - 1 Lech Poznań. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Górnik Zabrze 0:1 Lech Poznań. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań?
Górnik Zabrze score 1.63 goals per game on average and Lech Poznań 1.58. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Górnik Zabrze's matches and 74% of Lech Poznań's.
What form are Górnik Zabrze and Lech Poznań in?
Over the last 5 games Górnik Zabrze have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Lech Poznań 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Górnik Zabrze vs Lech Poznań?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.