Górnik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa: match statistics
The match shapes up to be an extremely tight contest between two teams with similar efficiency. Górnik Zabrze boasts solid home form with a 58% win rate and a favorable +9 goal difference, though their recent overall form (1 point per game) raises some doubts. Raków Częstochowa has better recent form (1.8 points per game) and a higher scoring efficiency in away matches (50% win rate), although they concede an average of 1.5 goals on the road. The xG stats indicate an advantage for the hosts (2.1 vs 1.75), but Raków dictates better ball possession (56% vs 51%). Considering Górnik's recent dip in form and Raków's solid performances, coupled with the hosts' home-field advantage, a draw seems the most probable outcome of this evenly matched clash.
Górnik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Górnik Zabrze played Raków Częstochowa in Ekstraklasa (Poland). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Górnik Zabrze: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Raków Częstochowa: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Górnik Zabrze scores 1.38 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Raków Częstochowa scores 1.38 and concedes 1.21. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Górnik Zabrze 54%, Raków Częstochowa 50%. Over 2.5: Górnik Zabrze 50%, Raków Częstochowa 46%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Górnik Zabrze has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.73. Górnik Zabrze: 16.3 shots per match, Raków Częstochowa: 14.5.
Match halves
Górnik Zabrze: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79. Raków Częstochowa: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Górnik Zabrze: 31-45+ (9 goals). Raków Częstochowa: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ekstraklasa: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be an extremely tight contest between two teams with similar efficiency. Górnik Zabrze boasts solid home form with a 58% win rate and a favorable +9 goal difference, though their recent overall form (1 point per game) raises some doubts. Raków Częstochowa has better recent form (1.8 points per game) and a higher scoring efficiency in away matches (50% win rate), although they concede an average of 1.5 goals on the road. The xG stats indicate an advantage for the hosts (2.1 vs 1.75), but Raków dictates better ball possession (56% vs 51%). Considering Górnik's recent dip in form and Raków's solid performances, coupled with the hosts' home-field advantage, a draw seems the most probable outcome of this evenly matched clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Górnik Zabrze | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Raków Częstochowa is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Górnik Zabrze · 1.6 pts / match - Raków Częstochowa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raków Częstochowa is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Górnik Zabrze · 1.21 goals / match - Raków Częstochowa
Górnik Zabrze scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Raków Częstochowa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 matches).
Raków Częstochowa scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Górnik Zabrze keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Górnik Zabrze
Over / Under - Raków Częstochowa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Górnik Zabrze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Raków Częstochowa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Górnik Zabrze
Raków Częstochowa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ekstraklasa).
Teams vs league
| Górnik Zabrze | Liga | Raków Częstochowa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.67 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Górnik Zabrze 1 - 0 - 0 Raków Częstochowa. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Górnik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
The Ekstraklasa match finished Górnik Zabrze 3:1 Raków Częstochowa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Górnik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
Górnik Zabrze score 1.38 goals per game on average and Raków Częstochowa 1.38. The Ekstraklasa average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Górnik Zabrze's matches and 50% of Raków Częstochowa's.
What form are Górnik Zabrze and Raków Częstochowa in?
Over the last 5 games Górnik Zabrze have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Raków Częstochowa 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Górnik Zabrze vs Raków Częstochowa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.