Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa: match statistics
Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Göztepe played Kasımpaşa in Süper Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Current form
Göztepe: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Kasımpaşa: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Göztepe scores 1.18 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Kasımpaşa scores 0.89 and concedes 1.36. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Göztepe 39%, Kasımpaşa 54%. Over 2.5: Göztepe 39%, Kasımpaşa 43%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Göztepe has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.09. Göztepe: 13.6 shots per match, Kasımpaşa: 9.9.
Match halves
Göztepe: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.68. Kasımpaşa: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Göztepe: 46-60 (8 goals). Kasımpaşa: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Süper Lig: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Göztepe has a clear advantage in chance creation: at home they average 14.07 shots per match and 4.43 on target with an average xG of 1.52, while Kasımpaşa away records only 7.71 shots, 2.07 on target and xG 0.88. The home side’s defense is stronger — Göztepe concedes on average 0.71 goals at their stadium and keeps a clean sheet in 57% of matches, whereas the visitors concede 1.43 goals away and have only 21% clean sheets. Over the full season the goal-difference gap is significant: Göztepe 33 scored and 23 conceded (+10), Kasımpaşa 25 scored and 38 conceded (-13), which corroborates the hosts’ superiority in quality of play. The last five matches show Kasımpaşa has slightly better recent form in points (1.4 points per match versus the hosts’ 1.0), however their weak away numbers and lower xG limit their realistic chances. Considering the advantage in xG, shot volume and better home defense, I forecast a Göztepe win with probabilities of approximately 65% for the home win, 20% for a draw and 15% for the away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because season and league indicators favor both teams scoring: Kasımpaşa has a season BTTS of 64% versus Göztepe’s 43%, and the league BTTS stands at 55%. Göztepe has recently generated better chances (average xG 1.29 for the season and 1.63 in the last 5 matches, 12.07 shots and 3.21 on target per game), while Kasımpaşa concedes an average xG against of 1.57 and has allowed 38 goals this season, increasing the likelihood that Göztepe will score. At the same time Kasımpaşa, despite fewer shots (7.71) and a lower xG_for of 0.88, shows higher efficiency (12% conversion rate) and has scored 25 goals this season, so they remain a realistic goal threat. Additionally both teams have low clean sheet percentages (29% for Göztepe and 21% for Kasımpaşa), and Göztepe recorded 60% BTTS in the last 5 matches; combined with the league average of 2.6 goals/game this boosts the probability of mutual scoring. Based on these specific figures I assign a 65% probability to BTTS and 35% to No Goal, therefore the best selection is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I project 1.43 goals for Göztepe and 1.01 for Kasımpaşa (total 2.44); I calculated this as the average of the home attack xG and away conceded xG: (1.29+1.57)/2 and (0.88+1.13)/2. Both teams have a high share of matches over 1.5 goals: Göztepe 64% and Kasımpaşa 79%, and the league average goals is 2.6, so I increase the probability of Over 1.5 to 76% (Under 24%). For the 2.5 line signals are mixed: season Over2.5 is 29% for Göztepe and 57% for Kasımpaşa (average 43%), and the projected xG_total 2.44 is slightly below 2.5, so I assess Over2.5 at 48% (Under 52%). The 3.5 line is rarely reached: season Over3.5 21% and 7% (average ~14%), and the combined xG 2.44 plus 11 goals in the last 5 matches of both teams (Göztepe 6, Kasımpaşa 5) confirm low potential for 4+ goals — Over3.5 18% (Under 82%). Therefore I recommend the strongest play as Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side Over), because both teams have high Over1.5 rates and xG suggesting at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is most likely: Göztepe drew at the break in 43% of matches and Kasımpaşa in 36%, yielding roughly a 40% probability of an HT draw. After the break the home side performs better – Göztepe averages 1.29 goals in the second half and scores 0.57 goals after the break, while Kasımpaşa averages 1.07 in the second half and 0.5 goals. Göztepe wins the second half more often: 28% of matches are second-half wins versus 14% for Kasımpaşa, increasing their chances of overturning the draw after the break. Additionally, the hosts create more opportunities: xG 1.29 versus 0.88 and on average 12.07 shots and 3.21 on target compared to 7.71 and 2.07 for the visitors, and in minutes 61–75 Göztepe scored 6 goals versus 2 for Kasımpaşa. Considering approximately a 40% chance of an HT draw and the hosts’ superior second-half metrics (0.57 goals and 28% second-half wins), the X/1 (draw at half-time and Göztepe full-time) scenario appears the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Göztepe | Kasımpaşa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kasımpaşa is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Göztepe · 1.4 pts / match - Kasımpaşa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Göztepe is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Göztepe · 0.89 goals / match - Kasımpaşa
Göztepe is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Göztepe · 1.36 goals / match - Kasımpaşa
Göztepe scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Kasımpaşa keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Kasımpaşa scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Göztepe keeps a clean sheet in 54% (15 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Göztepe
Over / Under - Kasımpaşa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Göztepe is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Göztepe · 0.93 pts / match - Kasımpaşa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Göztepe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kasımpaşa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Göztepe
Kasımpaşa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Süper Lig).
Teams vs league
| Göztepe | Liga | Kasımpaşa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 54% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 54% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 66% | ▲ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 79% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Göztepe 1 - 0 - 0 Kasımpaşa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa?
The Süper Lig match finished Göztepe 3:3 Kasımpaşa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa?
Göztepe score 1.18 goals per game on average and Kasımpaşa 0.89. The Süper Lig average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Göztepe's matches and 54% of Kasımpaşa's.
What form are Göztepe and Kasımpaşa in?
Over the last 5 games Göztepe have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Kasımpaşa 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Göztepe vs Kasımpaşa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.