Granada CF vs Sporting Gijón: match statistics
Granada CF vs Sporting Gijón: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Granada CF played Sporting Gijón in Segunda División (Spain). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Granada CF: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Sporting Gijón: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Granada CF scores 1.20 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Sporting Gijón scores 1.41 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Granada CF 51%, Sporting Gijón 59%. Over 2.5: Granada CF 41%, Sporting Gijón 54%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Sporting Gijón has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.31. Granada CF: 11.9 shots per match, Sporting Gijón: 11.5.
Match halves
Granada CF: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.46. Sporting Gijón: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Granada CF: 16-30 (12 goals). Sporting Gijón: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Segunda División: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Granada has the edge in expected chance creation and home defense: average xG for the hosts is 1.45 versus 1.14 for Sporting, and xG against is 1.18 vs 1.69, indicating Granada both creates more opportunities and limits opponents’ chances. This is supported by home shooting and control metrics — Granada averages 13.55 shots per match with 4.15 on target and 51% possession, while Sporting on the road records only 9.35 shots and 3.65 on target with 44% possession. Sporting, however, has been more prolific in the last five matches in terms of goals (10 scored vs Granada’s 4), but both teams have conceded 9 goals in that period, highlighting defensive instability on both sides. Home/away form also favors Granada — hosts average 1.35 goals scored and 1.15 conceded at home (clean sheet in 30% of matches), while Sporting away averages just 1.15 scored and as many as 1.55 conceded, with a 65% away loss rate and a -8 goal difference. Given the xG advantage, better control and defensive metrics for the hosts, I expect a Granada win; estimated probabilities are 55% home, 25% draw and 20% away.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 62% (Granada) and 55% (Sporting), versus a league average of 56%, which generally favors a scenario where both score. Sporting shows a strong form signal for BTTS — 100% in the last 5 matches with 10 goals scored (avg 2.0), whereas Granada has only 40% BTTS in the last 5 and 4 goals scored (0.8), weakening the hosts' offensive confidence. xG analysis shows Granada xG_for 1.59 aligns with Sporting xG_against 1.69 (high chance of a home goal), and Sporting xG_for 1.14 versus Granada xG_against 1.31 — the differences do not rule out a visitor goal; additionally both teams concede on average 1.8 goals in the last 5 matches (9 and 9). There are counterfactors: Granada has a 38% clean sheet rate, and Sporting fail to score in 30% of matches, so the risk of 'No BTTS' is not zero. Considering the seasonal BTTS edge (62/55), the league average 56% and Sporting's form, I recommend BTTS "Yes" with a probability of 65% versus 35% for "No".
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Considering xG: Granada has an attacking xG of 1.59, Sporting 1.14, and average xG conceded of 1.31 (Granada) and 1.69 (Sporting). The mean (attacking xG + opponent conceded xG)/2 gives expected goals of 1.64 for Granada and 1.23 for Sporting, totalling 2.87 goals. With this total, a Poisson distribution indicates roughly a 78% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~55% chance of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~32% chance of 4+ goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal and form data also support the Over: Over 1.5 occurs in 71% of Granada’s matches and 60% of Sporting’s matches; Sporting scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game) versus Granada’s 4 goals (0.8); Granada averages 13.52 shots (5.33 on target) compared to Sporting’s 9.35 (3.65), reinforcing the Over signal. Based on these factors I recommend a bet on Over at the 1.5 line as the strongest and most likely outcome.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Season-long indicators favor Granada: an average of 1.67 goals per match versus Sporting's 1.15, xG 1.59 to 1.14 and 5.33 shots on target to 3.65, indicating an offensive edge for the hosts. At half-time Granada led in 38% of matches and averages 0.71 goals by the break while conceding 0.52, whereas Sporting scores 0.6 and concedes 0.55; with low BTTS rates at half-time for both teams (24% and 25%) the safest outcomes are 0:0 or 1:0. After the break Granada scores more frequently and shoots more — on average 0.95 goals in the second half versus Sporting's 0.55, and the hosts win 48% of second halves compared to 25% for the visitors — which increases the likelihood of maintaining a lead. Despite poorer recent form over the last five matches (20% wins and 0% leads at the break for Granada versus 40% and 60% for Sporting), combining season-long goal and xG advantage I select the 1/1 scenario as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Granada CF | Sporting Gijón | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Gijón is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Granada CF · 1.2 pts / match - Sporting Gijón
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Sporting Gijón is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Granada CF · 1.41 goals / match - Sporting Gijón
Granada CF scores in 68% of matches (28 of 41 matches), while Sporting Gijón keeps a clean sheet in 27% (11 of 41 matches).
Sporting Gijón scores in 80% of matches (33 of 41 matches), while Granada CF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (12 of 41 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Granada CF
Over / Under - Sporting Gijón
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Sporting Gijón is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Granada CF · 1.41 pts / match - Sporting Gijón
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Granada CF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Sporting Gijón - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Granada CF
Sporting Gijón
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).
Teams vs league
| Granada CF | Liga | Sporting Gijón | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.51 | 2.64 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 68% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Granada CF 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting Gijón. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Granada CF vs Sporting Gijón?
The Segunda División match finished Granada CF 1:2 Sporting Gijón. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Granada CF vs Sporting Gijón?
Granada CF score 1.20 goals per game on average and Sporting Gijón 1.41. The Segunda División average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 51% of Granada CF's matches and 59% of Sporting Gijón's.
What form are Granada CF and Sporting Gijón in?
Over the last 5 games Granada CF have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Sporting Gijón 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Granada CF vs Sporting Gijón?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.