Grazer AK vs Austria Lustenau: match statistics

Austria Lustenau remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Grazer AK have posted 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat over the same period. However, the hosts have been clearly more clinical, scoring 13 goals in their last five games compared with their opponents’ 8. Austria Lustenau have shown the more solid defence, conceding just 4 goals in their last five outings, while Grazer AK have conceded 5. In the current campaign, Grazer AK opened with a 0:3 defeat, whereas Austria Lustenau drew 1:1, further pointing towards a more cautious and evenly balanced scenario. The hosts’ attacking advantage may offset the visitors’ better run of form and tighter defence, making a draw the most likely outcome.

The latest form of both teams points toward goals at both ends: Grazer AK averaged 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches, while Austria Lustenau averaged 1.6. During this period, the hosts conceded 1.0 goal per game and the visitors 0.8, so neither defence provides a clear basis for expecting a clean sheet. Their attacking potential is supported by an xG of 1.39 for Grazer AK and 1.69 for Austria Lustenau, with 1.44 and 1.65 xG conceded by their respective defences. Although the hosts’ BTTS rate in their last 5 appearances was only 20%, the visitors’ figure stands at 60%, and the high efficiency of both attacks speaks slightly more strongly in favour of a scenario in which each team scores at least once—BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal), rather than BTTS - No, which means that at least one team fails to score and does not automatically indicate a 0:0 result.

Grazer AK have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while Austria Lustenau have scored 8 goals over the same period, averaging 1.6. In these five matches, the hosts conceded just 1.0 goal per game, compared with 0.8 for the visitors, but the xG figures for both teams indicate greater attacking potential: 1.39 for Grazer AK and 1.69 for Austria Lustenau. After combining attacking strength with the opponent’s defensive quality, the forecast stands at 1.52 goals for the hosts and 1.50 for the visitors, giving a total of 3.02. In addition, Grazer AK’s matches went over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last five games, making Over 1.5 the safest line, with a high probability of 79%.

Grazer AK has shown a clearly stronger attacking profile in its last five matches, averaging 2.6 goals compared with Austria Lustenau’s 1.6. The hosts led at the break in 3 of those 5 games, while the visitors did so in only 2 of 5; notably, Lustenau were level at half-time in 2 of 5 matches. After the break, Grazer AK averages 1.8 goals scored and just 0.4 conceded, a stronger record than Austria Lustenau’s 1.0 goals scored and 0.2 conceded. The Graz-based side have won 60% of their recent matches, and their average of 3.6 goals per game indicates an ability to maintain or extend a lead. The most likely outcome is therefore an HT/FT selection of 1/1: the hosts to lead at half-time and secure victory at the final whistle.