Grazer AK vs Ried: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely-matched contest between the two teams. Grazer AK is in poor form with a mere 20% home win rate and a five-match winless streak, yet they draw in as many as 50% of their home fixtures. Ried wins 40% of their away matches but has also been struggling with inconsistent form lately. A key factor is the identical average goals scored and conceded by both teams (1.3 and 1.5), a similar shot conversion rate (11%), and nearly identical xG values. Both sides have the same goal difference on their home grounds (-2), further confirming the balanced nature of this encounter. Considering the hosts' high propensity for home draws and both teams' unstable form, a share of the points appears to be the most likely outcome.
Grazer AK vs Ried: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grazer AK played Ried in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 1 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Grazer AK: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Ried: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grazer AK scores 1.00 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Ried scores 1.25 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grazer AK 65%, Ried 50%. Over 2.5: Grazer AK 60%, Ried 45%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Ried has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.07. Grazer AK: 9.7 shots per match, Ried: 12.6.
Match halves
Grazer AK: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.60. Ried: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Grazer AK: 16-30 (5 goals). Ried: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a closely-matched contest between the two teams. Grazer AK is in poor form with a mere 20% home win rate and a five-match winless streak, yet they draw in as many as 50% of their home fixtures. Ried wins 40% of their away matches but has also been struggling with inconsistent form lately. A key factor is the identical average goals scored and conceded by both teams (1.3 and 1.5), a similar shot conversion rate (11%), and nearly identical xG values. Both sides have the same goal difference on their home grounds (-2), further confirming the balanced nature of this encounter. Considering the hosts' high propensity for home draws and both teams' unstable form, a share of the points appears to be the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grazer AK | Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ried is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Grazer AK · 1.6 pts / match - Ried
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ried is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Grazer AK · 1.25 goals / match - Ried
Ried is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.65 goals / match - Grazer AK · 1.3 goals / match - Ried
Grazer AK scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Ried keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Ried scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grazer AK
Over / Under - Ried
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ried is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / match - Grazer AK · 1.3 pts / match - Ried
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grazer AK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 15%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ried - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grazer AK
Ried
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Grazer AK | Liga | Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.65 | 2.64 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 52% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 10% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grazer AK 0 - 1 - 0 Ried. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grazer AK vs Ried?
The Bundesliga match finished Grazer AK 2:1 Ried. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grazer AK vs Ried?
Grazer AK score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ried 1.25. The Bundesliga average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Grazer AK's matches and 50% of Ried's.
What form are Grazer AK and Ried in?
Over the last 5 games Grazer AK have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Ried 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grazer AK vs Ried?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.