Grazer AK vs Ried: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a closely-matched contest between the two teams. Grazer AK is in poor form with a mere 20% home win rate and a five-match winless streak, yet they draw in as many as 50% of their home fixtures. Ried wins 40% of their away matches but has also been struggling with inconsistent form lately. A key factor is the identical average goals scored and conceded by both teams (1.3 and 1.5), a similar shot conversion rate (11%), and nearly identical xG values. Both sides have the same goal difference on their home grounds (-2), further confirming the balanced nature of this encounter. Considering the hosts' high propensity for home draws and both teams' unstable form, a share of the points appears to be the most likely outcome.
Grazer AK vs Ried: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grazer AK play Ried in Bundesliga (Austria). The match date is 1 March 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Grazer AK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ried: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grazer AK scores 1.31 and concedes 1.41 goals per match. Ried scores 1.20 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grazer AK 59%, Ried 51%. Over 2.5: Grazer AK 59%, Ried 49%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Ried has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.13. Grazer AK: 10.1 shots per match, Ried: 11.9.
Match halves
Grazer AK: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.78. Ried: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Grazer AK: 76-90+ (11 goals). Ried: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 67%.
Match description
Statistical analysis points to a closely-matched contest between the two teams. Grazer AK is in poor form with a mere 20% home win rate and a five-match winless streak, yet they draw in as many as 50% of their home fixtures. Ried wins 40% of their away matches but has also been struggling with inconsistent form lately. A key factor is the identical average goals scored and conceded by both teams (1.3 and 1.5), a similar shot conversion rate (11%), and nearly identical xG values. Both sides have the same goal difference on their home grounds (-2), further confirming the balanced nature of this encounter. Considering the hosts' high propensity for home draws and both teams' unstable form, a share of the points appears to be the most likely outcome.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grazer AK | Ried | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grazer AK is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Grazer AK · 1.2 pts / match - Ried
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grazer AK is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Grazer AK · 1.2 goals / match - Ried
Ried is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.41 goals / match - Grazer AK · 1.34 goals / match - Ried
Grazer AK scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Ried keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 matches).
Ried scores in 66% of matches (23 of 35 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grazer AK
Over / Under — Ried
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ried is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Grazer AK · 1.31 pts / match - Ried
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grazer AK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ried - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grazer AK
Ried
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Grazer AK | Liga | Ried | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.72 | 2.70 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 51% | ▼ 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 25% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 78% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Grazer AK 0 - 2 - 1 Ried. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grazer AK vs Ried?
The Bundesliga match finished Grazer AK 2:1 Ried. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grazer AK and Ried?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grazer AK won 0, Ried won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grazer AK vs Ried?
Grazer AK score 1.31 goals per game on average and Ried 1.20. The Bundesliga average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Grazer AK's matches and 51% of Ried's.
What form are Grazer AK and Ried in?
Over the last 5 games Grazer AK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ried 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grazer AK vs Ried?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.