Grazer AK vs Salzburg: match statistics
Salzburg as the league leaders clearly outperform Grazer AK in terms of quality and form. The visitors boast an impressive 50% win rate away from home, averaging 1.75 goals scored per away match, with 0% of matches without scoring. Grazer AK are only in 11th place in the table with just a 22% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-2) in home matches. Salzburg also dominate in xG statistics (1.58 to 1.21) and possession (58% to 46%), which confirms their technical and tactical superiority. Despite some issues for Salzburg in their last five matches, the class difference between the teams points to an away win. A draw remains an option due to Salzburg's high percentage of draws away from home (38%), however, an away win is the most likely scenario.
Grazer AK vs Salzburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grazer AK played Salzburg in Bundesliga (Austria). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Grazer AK: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Salzburg: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grazer AK scores 1.06 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Salzburg scores 2.00 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grazer AK 67%, Salzburg 67%. Over 2.5: Grazer AK 67%, Salzburg 72%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Salzburg has higher xG: 1.77 vs 1.08. Grazer AK: 9.7 shots per match, Salzburg: 15.6.
Match halves
Grazer AK: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.67. Salzburg: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Grazer AK: 76-90+ (5 goals). Salzburg: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Bundesliga: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Salzburg as the league leaders clearly outperform Grazer AK in terms of quality and form. The visitors boast an impressive 50% win rate away from home, averaging 1.75 goals scored per away match, with 0% of matches without scoring. Grazer AK are only in 11th place in the table with just a 22% win rate at home and a negative goal difference (-2) in home matches. Salzburg also dominate in xG statistics (1.58 to 1.21) and possession (58% to 46%), which confirms their technical and tactical superiority. Despite some issues for Salzburg in their last five matches, the class difference between the teams points to an away win. A draw remains an option due to Salzburg's high percentage of draws away from home (38%), however, an away win is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grazer AK | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Salzburg is 89% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Grazer AK · 2 goals / match - Salzburg
Salzburg is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Grazer AK · 1.28 goals / match - Salzburg
Grazer AK scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Salzburg keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Salzburg scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Grazer AK keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grazer AK
Over / Under - Salzburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Salzburg is 157% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / match - Grazer AK · 1.72 pts / match - Salzburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grazer AK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Salzburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grazer AK
Salzburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Grazer AK | Liga | Salzburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.78 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 25% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grazer AK 0 - 0 - 1 Salzburg. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grazer AK vs Salzburg?
The Bundesliga match finished Grazer AK 1:1 Salzburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grazer AK vs Salzburg?
Grazer AK score 1.06 goals per game on average and Salzburg 2.00. The Bundesliga average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Grazer AK's matches and 67% of Salzburg's.
What form are Grazer AK and Salzburg in?
Over the last 5 games Grazer AK have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Salzburg 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grazer AK vs Salzburg?
The statistical background for Grazer AK vs Salzburg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.