Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: match statistics
Greenock Morton vs Ayr United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenock Morton played Ayr United in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 27 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Greenock Morton: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ayr United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenock Morton scores 0.89 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Ayr United scores 1.32 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.51 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenock Morton 53%, Ayr United 58%. Over 2.5: Greenock Morton 37%, Ayr United 37%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Ayr United has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.13. Greenock Morton: 8.9 shots per match, Ayr United: 10.6.
Match halves
Greenock Morton: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.53. Ayr United: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Greenock Morton: 76-90+ (7 goals). Ayr United: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.51 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenock Morton | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ayr United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 1.6 pts / match - Ayr United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 1.32 goals / match - Ayr United
Ayr United is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 1.16 goals / match - Ayr United
Greenock Morton scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Ayr United scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
Over / Under - Ayr United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 1.74 pts / match - Ayr United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 21%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 32%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenock Morton
Ayr United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Greenock Morton | Liga | Ayr United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.16 | 2.51 | • 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 47% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 32% | • 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 70% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Greenock Morton 0 - 1 - 1 Ayr United. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
The Championship match finished Greenock Morton 1:1 Ayr United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenock Morton and Ayr United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Greenock Morton won 0, Ayr United won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
Greenock Morton score 0.89 goals per game on average and Ayr United 1.32. The Championship average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Greenock Morton's matches and 58% of Ayr United's.
What form are Greenock Morton and Ayr United in?
Over the last 5 games Greenock Morton have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ayr United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United?
The statistical background for Greenock Morton vs Ayr United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.