Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Greenock Morton display high draw efficiency at home (45% draws in home matches), confirmed by the 'ddlddlwwldw' sequence featuring numerous draws. Raith Rovers also have a high percentage of draws away from home (42%), with their latest away form concluding in a draw. Both teams struggle offensively: Morton score an average of only 0.91 goals in home games, while Raith average a mere 0.5 goals away, failing to score in 58% of their away matches. Both teams have negative goal differences (Morton -2, Raith -5), pointing to a defensive encounter. Considering the low average goals per game and both teams' draw tendencies, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, although Morton holds a slight advantage as the home side.
Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenock Morton played Raith Rovers in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Greenock Morton: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Raith Rovers: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenock Morton scores 1.00 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Raith Rovers scores 1.17 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenock Morton 57%, Raith Rovers 33%. Over 2.5: Greenock Morton 35%, Raith Rovers 38%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Raith Rovers has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.11. Greenock Morton: 8.8 shots per match, Raith Rovers: 10.8.
Match halves
Greenock Morton: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.57. Raith Rovers: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Greenock Morton: 76-90+ (7 goals). Raith Rovers: 46-60 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams, favoring a draw. Greenock Morton display high draw efficiency at home (45% draws in home matches), confirmed by the 'ddlddlwwldw' sequence featuring numerous draws. Raith Rovers also have a high percentage of draws away from home (42%), with their latest away form concluding in a draw. Both teams struggle offensively: Morton score an average of only 0.91 goals in home games, while Raith average a mere 0.5 goals away, failing to score in 58% of their away matches. Both teams have negative goal differences (Morton -2, Raith -5), pointing to a defensive encounter. Considering the low average goals per game and both teams' draw tendencies, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, although Morton holds a slight advantage as the home side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenock Morton | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Greenock Morton is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 0.8 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Raith Rovers is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 1.17 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Greenock Morton · 1.08 goals / match - Raith Rovers
Greenock Morton scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Raith Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 matches).
Raith Rovers scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Greenock Morton keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Greenock Morton
Over / Under - Raith Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Greenock Morton is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Greenock Morton · 1.08 pts / match - Raith Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenock Morton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Raith Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenock Morton
Raith Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Greenock Morton | Liga | Raith Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 50% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | • 70% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Greenock Morton 0 - 1 - 1 Raith Rovers. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?
The Championship match finished Greenock Morton 0:0 Raith Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Greenock Morton won 0, Raith Rovers won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?
Greenock Morton score 1.00 goals per game on average and Raith Rovers 1.17. The Championship average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Greenock Morton's matches and 33% of Raith Rovers's.
What form are Greenock Morton and Raith Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Greenock Morton have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Raith Rovers 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenock Morton vs Raith Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.