Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison: match statistics
Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenville Triumph play Forward Madison in USL League One (United States). The match date is 4 June 2026 at 01:30. Venue: Legacy Early College. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Greenville Triumph: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Forward Madison: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenville Triumph scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Forward Madison scores 1.86 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenville Triumph 36%, Forward Madison 50%. Over 2.5: Greenville Triumph 57%, Forward Madison 57%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Forward Madison has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.41. Greenville Triumph: 11.9 shots per match, Forward Madison: 12.8.
Match halves
Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43. Forward Madison: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Greenville Triumph: 31-45+ (4 goals). Forward Madison: 16-30 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.86 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I project a Forward Madison win (2). In their last 5 matches the visitors scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points per game, while Greenville managed just 1 goal and 0.2 points per game, conceding 11 goals over five fixtures. Across the season Forward have a 4-1-3 record with 12 goals for and 10 against (GD +2), whereas Greenville are 2-1-5 with a 9:15 record (GD -6). At home Greenville generate on average 16.25 shots and 6.5 on target with xG 1.82, but they concede 2.25 goals per game and have 0% clean sheets; the visitors average 10.14 shots (3.57 on target) away, have xG 1.25 and concede 1.43 goals per game. Considering Greenville’s 11 goals conceded in the last five versus Forward’s 7 conceded and 7 scored, and the visitors’ superior 1.2 points per game over the last 5, I assess probabilities as: 55% for the visitors, 25% draw, 20% for the home side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenville Triumph | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Forward Madison is 225% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 2.6 pts / match - Forward Madison
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forward Madison is 86% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.86 goals / match - Forward Madison
Forward Madison is 71% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1 goals / match - Forward Madison
Greenville Triumph scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Forward Madison keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Forward Madison scores in 79% of matches (11 of 14 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Greenville Triumph
Over / Under — Forward Madison
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Forward Madison is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 2.07 pts / match - Forward Madison
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forward Madison - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 57%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenville Triumph
Forward Madison
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Greenville Triumph | Liga | Forward Madison | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.71 | 2.86 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 93% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Greenville Triumph 1 - 0 - 1 Forward Madison. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
The USL League One match finished Greenville Triumph 1:0 Forward Madison. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenville Triumph and Forward Madison?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Greenville Triumph won 1, Forward Madison won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Greenville Triumph score 1.00 goals per game on average and Forward Madison 1.86. The USL League One average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Greenville Triumph's matches and 50% of Forward Madison's.
What form are Greenville Triumph and Forward Madison in?
Over the last 5 games Greenville Triumph have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Forward Madison 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Greenville Triumph vs Forward Madison: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.