Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers: match statistics
Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greenville Triumph played Richmond Kickers in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 9 May 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Greenville Triumph: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Richmond Kickers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greenville Triumph scores 1.60 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Richmond Kickers scores 0.83 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greenville Triumph 60%, Richmond Kickers 50%. Over 2.5: Greenville Triumph 60%, Richmond Kickers 33%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Greenville Triumph has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.24. Greenville Triumph: 12.6 shots per match, Richmond Kickers: 10.3.
Match halves
Greenville Triumph: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Richmond Kickers: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.17.
Goals by minute
Greenville Triumph: 0-15 (2 goals). Richmond Kickers: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Greenville is the favorite due to a clear home offensive advantage: the hosts average 2.67 goals per home match with xG 1.92 and 7.67 shots on target, while Richmond averages only 0.67 goals and 2 shots on target per away match. Greenville’s conversion rate is 16% versus 9% for the visitors, and the hosts have 0% clean-sheet-less home matches compared to 33% of Richmond’s away matches without a goal, confirming greater attacking efficiency for the home side. Defence is not ideal — Greenville concedes 2.0 goals per home match despite xG against of 1.26, and Richmond concedes 1.67 away with xG against 1.8, suggesting the game could be open and high-scoring. In the last 5 matches both teams averaged 1.2 points per game, but Greenville scored 7 goals in those five fixtures versus Richmond’s 5, indicating better scoring form for the hosts. Based on this, I tip a home win and estimate probabilities of 65% for Greenville, 20% for a draw and 15% for Richmond.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I recommend BTTS - Yes because multiple indicators point to both teams scoring: Greenville has a seasonal BTTS rate of 33% versus Richmond's 67%, and in the last 5 matches 40% and 60% respectively, with the league BTTS level at 56%. Additionally, Richmond has kept 0 clean sheets this season (0% clean sheets), while Greenville concedes an average of 2.0 goals in the last 5 matches, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides. xG metrics confirm an open game: Greenville xG_for 1.53 versus Richmond xG_against 1.8, and Richmond xG_for 0.95 versus Greenville xG_against 1.53, meaning both teams create scoring opportunities. Greenville averages 5.0 shots on target and 13.0 shots per match versus Richmond's 2.0 and 7.67, and over the last 5 fixtures Greenville scored 7 and conceded 10 while Richmond scored 5 and conceded 9, making goal exchange realistic. Based on this I recommend 70% for Yes and 30% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model values expected goals at 1.67 for Greenville and 1.24 for Richmond, giving a total of 2.91 goals. Greenville averages 13.0 shots with 5.0 on target and has xG 1.53, while Richmond has 7.67 shots, 2.0 on target and xG 0.95, indicating a clear chance-creation advantage for the home side. Based on the combined xG (2.91) my model estimates the probability of Over 1.5 goals at ~79%, Over 2.5 at ~56%, and Over 3.5 at ~33%. Additionally, in the last 5 matches the Over 2.5 rate was 60% for Greenville and 80% for Richmond, which strengthens the signal for Over 2.5 despite the seasonal 33%/33% for Over 2.5. Therefore I recommend an Over 2.5 goals bet as the strongest signal: the 1.5 line has higher certainty (~79%) but lower value, while 3.5 with ~33% probability is less profitable.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Based on the data, I consider the most likely scenario to be a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1). Both teams have the same average goals by half-time, 0.67–0.67; hosts led at the break in 33% of matches and visitors in 0%, while visitors were level at half-time in 67% of their games — yielding a cumulative chance of a draw at half-time of roughly 50%. After the break the home side holds a significant advantage: 67% home wins versus 0% away wins, average points for hosts 2.0 vs 0.33 for visitors, xG 1.53 vs 0.95 and shots on target 5 vs 2. Additionally, hosts have gained 5 points in second halves and average 1.67 points per match after the break vs 1.0 and 0.33 for the visitors, so given a HT draw I assign the home team about a 60% chance of a turnaround to win, which translates into the highest probability for X/1 (around 30%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greenville Triumph | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Greenville Triumph is 93% better for: goals scored per match.
1.6 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 0.83 goals / match - Richmond Kickers
Richmond Kickers is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.8 goals / match - Greenville Triumph · 1.17 goals / match - Richmond Kickers
Greenville Triumph scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Richmond Kickers keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Richmond Kickers scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Greenville Triumph keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Greenville Triumph
Over / Under - Richmond Kickers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Greenville Triumph is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Greenville Triumph · 1 pts / match - Richmond Kickers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greenville Triumph - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Richmond Kickers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greenville Triumph
Richmond Kickers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Greenville Triumph | Liga | Richmond Kickers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Greenville Triumph 1 - 1 - 0 Richmond Kickers. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
The USL League One match finished Greenville Triumph 0:3 Richmond Kickers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Greenville Triumph and Richmond Kickers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Greenville Triumph won 1, Richmond Kickers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
Greenville Triumph score 1.60 goals per game on average and Richmond Kickers 0.83. The USL League One average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Greenville Triumph's matches and 50% of Richmond Kickers's.
What form are Greenville Triumph and Richmond Kickers in?
Over the last 5 games Greenville Triumph have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Richmond Kickers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Greenville Triumph vs Richmond Kickers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.