Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: match statistics
Grêmio presents a decidedly better home form with 100% winning efficiency at home this season, scoring an average of 5 goals per match in front of their own fans. Atlético Mineiro has serious problems in away matches, not winning any away fixture (0% wins) and not scoring a single goal in away matches this season (FTS% 100%). The hosts possess a significantly better xG indicator in home matches (1.65 vs 1.20 xG for visitors away) and higher shot efficiency (36% conversion). Atlético also has a negative goal difference away (-1) and lost their last away match. Considering Grêmio's dominance at home and Atlético's total offensive helplessness away, the hosts' advantage is clear, although their weak defense (average 3 goals conceded at home) might allow the visitors to score a goal and fight for a draw.
Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play Atlético Mineiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 26 February 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlético Mineiro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Atlético Mineiro scores 1.21 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 58%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 42%, Atlético Mineiro 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Mineiro has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.23. Grêmio: 11.2 shots per match, Atlético Mineiro: 13.6.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Atlético Mineiro: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Atlético Mineiro: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Grêmio presents a decidedly better home form with 100% winning efficiency at home this season, scoring an average of 5 goals per match in front of their own fans. Atlético Mineiro has serious problems in away matches, not winning any away fixture (0% wins) and not scoring a single goal in away matches this season (FTS% 100%). The hosts possess a significantly better xG indicator in home matches (1.65 vs 1.20 xG for visitors away) and higher shot efficiency (36% conversion). Atlético also has a negative goal difference away (-1) and lost their last away match. Considering Grêmio's dominance at home and Atlético's total offensive helplessness away, the hosts' advantage is clear, although their weak defense (average 3 goals conceded at home) might allow the visitors to score a goal and fight for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Mineiro is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Mineiro is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.21 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.26 goals / match - Atlético Mineiro
Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Atlético Mineiro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Atlético Mineiro scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grêmio
Over / Under — Atlético Mineiro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Mineiro is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.47 pts / match - Atlético Mineiro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Mineiro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Atlético Mineiro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Atlético Mineiro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 78% | • 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grêmio 2 - 0 - 0 Atlético Mineiro. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 2:1 Atlético Mineiro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 2, Atlético Mineiro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?
Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Atlético Mineiro 1.21. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Grêmio's matches and 42% of Atlético Mineiro's.
What form are Grêmio and Atlético Mineiro in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético Mineiro 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Atlético Mineiro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.