Grêmio vs Atlético PR: match statistics
Grêmio vs Atlético PR: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio played Atlético PR in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Atlético PR: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.09 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Atlético PR scores 1.56 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 59%, Atlético PR 59%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 44%, Atlético PR 50%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético PR has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.30. Grêmio: 11.9 shots per match, Atlético PR: 13.1.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.63. Atlético PR: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (9 goals). Atlético PR: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético PR sit 3rd in the table and have won 2 of their last 5 matches, while 18th-placed Grêmio have failed to win during that period. The visitors scored 9 goals and conceded 7 in those matches, compared with 6 scored and 9 conceded by the hosts, which points to the away side. However, Grêmio are more dangerous at home: they win 44% of their matches and average 1.50 xG, compared with Atlético's 38% away win rate and 1.20 xG. The hosts' chances are also boosted by the fact that Atlético concede an average of 1.44 goals per away match. Therefore, despite the visitors' stronger recent scoring record, an Atlético win is not a clear favourite.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 56% of Grêmio’s matches and 63% of Atlético PR’s, rising to 80% in each team’s last five games. The hosts average 1.69 goals with an xG of 1.74, while the visitors concede an average of 1.44 goals and allow opponents an xG of 1.71, which bodes well for a Grêmio goal. Atlético PR also have a strong case to score: they averaged 1.8 goals across their last five matches, while Grêmio conceded 1.8 goals per game over the same period. The risk of one team failing to score remains real, as Grêmio keep a clean sheet in 31% of matches and Atlético PR fail to score in 25%. However, the current attacking form of both sides and the high frequency of BTTS in their recent matches point to BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: at least two goals were scored in 81% of Grêmio matches and 75% of Atlético PR matches. The hosts average 1.69 goals and generate 1.74 xG, while the visitors concede an average of 1.44 goals and their opponents create chances worth 1.71 xG. Atlético PR can also get on the scoresheet, averaging 1.44 goals and 1.8 over their last five matches. A projected total of 2.85 goals supports backing at least two goals, but the 2.5 line is less certain: it was surpassed in 44% of the hosts’ matches and 56% of the visitors’ matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely single scenario is Grêmio leading at the break and holding on to the lead: the hosts have won 56% of their matches this season, while Atlético PR have been trailing at half-time in 44% of their games. Grêmio’s advantage is also supported by an average xG of 1.74 compared with their opponents’ 1.20, as well as 5.94 shots on target per match against 4.13. If the hosts take the lead, their season record after half-time—0.94 goals scored and 0.38 conceded per match—suggests they are well placed to protect it. However, this is not a clear-cut favourite: Grêmio have been level at half-time in 56% of their matches, making a draw at the break followed by a win a strong alternative. Caution is also warranted given the last five matches, in which Grêmio have not won once, while Atlético PR have recorded two victories.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético PR is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.6 pts / match - Atlético PR
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético PR is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.09 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.56 goals / match - Atlético PR
Atlético PR is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.19 goals / match - Atlético PR
Grêmio scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Atlético PR keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Atlético PR scores in 78% of matches (25 of 32 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Atlético PR
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético PR is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.34 pts / match - Atlético PR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético PR - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Atlético PR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Atlético PR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.67 | • 2.75 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 59% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 75% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grêmio 0 - 1 - 0 Atlético PR. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Atlético PR?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 2:0 Atlético PR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Atlético PR?
Grêmio score 1.09 goals per game on average and Atlético PR 1.56. The Serie A average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Grêmio's matches and 59% of Atlético PR's.
What form are Grêmio and Atlético PR in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Atlético PR 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Atlético PR?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.