Grêmio vs Bragantino: match statistics
Grêmio boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and a very high average of goals scored at home (3.5 per game). The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by a streak of two consecutive wins at their own stadium. Bragantino, on the other hand, struggles in away games - scoring a mere 0.5 goals per match and failing to find the back of the net in 50% of their fixtures. Additionally, the visitors lost their last away match and hold a negative goal difference (-1) on the road. Even though Bragantino possesses a higher average ball possession (56%) and a better xG (2.01), their poor chance conversion rate (3%) and finishing issues in away games favor the hosts. Grêmio's home advantage, combined with Bragantino's weak away form, makes a home win the most likely scenario.
Grêmio vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 13 March 2026 at 01:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Bragantino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Bragantino scores 1.37 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 58%, Bragantino 47%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 42%, Bragantino 42%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.23. Grêmio: 11.2 shots per match, Bragantino: 15.8.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Bragantino: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.58.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Grêmio boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and a very high average of goals scored at home (3.5 per game). The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by a streak of two consecutive wins at their own stadium. Bragantino, on the other hand, struggles in away games - scoring a mere 0.5 goals per match and failing to find the back of the net in 50% of their fixtures. Additionally, the visitors lost their last away match and hold a negative goal difference (-1) on the road. Even though Bragantino possesses a higher average ball possession (56%) and a better xG (2.01), their poor chance conversion rate (3%) and finishing issues in away games favor the hosts. Grêmio's home advantage, combined with Bragantino's weak away form, makes a home win the most likely scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bragantino is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 2 pts / match - Bragantino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bragantino is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.37 goals / match - Bragantino
Bragantino is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.32 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.05 goals / match - Bragantino
Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Bragantino scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grêmio
Over / Under — Bragantino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.63 pts / match - Bragantino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Bragantino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grêmio 0 - 1 - 1 Bragantino. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Bragantino?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:1 Bragantino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Bragantino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Bragantino won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Bragantino?
Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Bragantino 1.37. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Grêmio's matches and 47% of Bragantino's.
What form are Grêmio and Bragantino in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Bragantino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Bragantino?
The statistical background for Grêmio vs Bragantino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.