Grêmio vs Bragantino: match statistics
Grêmio boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and a very high average of goals scored at home (3.5 per game). The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by a streak of two consecutive wins at their own stadium. Bragantino, on the other hand, struggles in away games - scoring a mere 0.5 goals per match and failing to find the back of the net in 50% of their fixtures. Additionally, the visitors lost their last away match and hold a negative goal difference (-1) on the road. Even though Bragantino possesses a higher average ball possession (56%) and a better xG (2.01), their poor chance conversion rate (3%) and finishing issues in away games favor the hosts. Grêmio's home advantage, combined with Bragantino's weak away form, makes a home win the most likely scenario.
Grêmio vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio played Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 13 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Grêmio: 2-0-2, 1.50 points/match. Bragantino: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 2.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Bragantino scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 75%, Bragantino 25%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 75%, Bragantino 0%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.73 vs 1.40. Grêmio: 12.3 shots per match, Bragantino: 16.3.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.75. Bragantino: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (4 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grêmio boasts an impressive home form with a 100% win rate (2 wins in 2 matches) and a very high average of goals scored at home (3.5 per game). The hosts are in excellent shape, confirmed by a streak of two consecutive wins at their own stadium. Bragantino, on the other hand, struggles in away games - scoring a mere 0.5 goals per match and failing to find the back of the net in 50% of their fixtures. Additionally, the visitors lost their last away match and hold a negative goal difference (-1) on the road. Even though Bragantino possesses a higher average ball possession (56%) and a better xG (2.01), their poor chance conversion rate (3%) and finishing issues in away games favor the hosts. Grêmio's home advantage, combined with Bragantino's weak away form, makes a home win the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.14 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bragantino is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.75 pts / match - Bragantino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grêmio is 167% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Grêmio · 0.75 goals / match - Bragantino
Bragantino is 167% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Grêmio · 0.75 goals / match - Bragantino
Grêmio scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Bragantino scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Bragantino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bragantino is 300% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Grêmio · 2 pts / match - Bragantino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 75% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 50% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Bragantino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.00 | 2.82 | ▼ 1.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 64% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 75% | 49% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 18% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grêmio 0 - 1 - 1 Bragantino. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Bragantino?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:1 Bragantino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Bragantino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Bragantino won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Bragantino?
Grêmio score 2.00 goals per game on average and Bragantino 0.75. The Serie A average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Grêmio's matches and 25% of Bragantino's.
What form are Grêmio and Bragantino in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 2-0-2 record (1.50 points per game) and Bragantino 2-1-1 (1.75 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Bragantino?
The statistical background for Grêmio vs Bragantino — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.