Grêmio vs Coritiba: match statistics
Grêmio vs Coritiba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio play Coritiba in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 26 April 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Grêmio: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Coritiba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.11 and concedes 1.32 goals per match. Coritiba scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 58%, Coritiba 44%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 42%, Coritiba 44%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Grêmio has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.09. Grêmio: 11.2 shots per match, Coritiba: 10.2.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68. Coritiba: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.72.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (7 goals). Coritiba: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Grêmio has a clear advantage in chance creation — average xG 1.72 versus 1.07 for Coritiba, 15.8 average shots per game (vs 9.83) and 5.6 shots on target (vs 3.17). At home Grêmio scores on average 2.0 goals and concedes 1.0 goal per match, has a 60% home win rate and 0% home defeats (goal difference +5), which gives them defensive and mental edge. Coritiba, however, has a better goal return in the last 5 matches (6 goals vs 3 for Grêmio) and higher shot conversion 17% vs 13%, and concedes on average 1.33 goals away, so they can capitalize on chances. Both teams have a similar recent points tempo — 1.4 points per game on average in the last 5 fixtures — and 'failed to score' rates are low: 20% for Grêmio and 17% for Coritiba, suggesting we will see goals. Considering Grêmio’s advantage in xG, shot volume and better home record I assign 55% to the home win, 25% to a draw and 20% to the away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Coritiba is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.4 pts / match - Coritiba
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Coritiba is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.33 goals / match - Coritiba
Grêmio scores in 68% of matches (13 of 19 matches), while Coritiba keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Coritiba scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Grêmio
Over / Under — Coritiba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Coritiba is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.33 pts / match - Coritiba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Coritiba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Coritiba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Coritiba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.64 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | • 58% | 58% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Coritiba?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:0 Coritiba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Coritiba?
Grêmio score 1.11 goals per game on average and Coritiba 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Grêmio's matches and 44% of Coritiba's.
What form are Grêmio and Coritiba in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Coritiba 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Coritiba?
The statistical background for Grêmio vs Coritiba — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.