Brazil - Serie AArena do GrêmioData current as of 16 October 2026

Grêmio vs Cruzeiro: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Grêmio vs Cruzeiro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Grêmio play Cruzeiro in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio.

Current form

Grêmio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Cruzeiro: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Grêmio scores 1.07 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Cruzeiro scores 1.53 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.68 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grêmio 60%, Cruzeiro 70%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 43%, Cruzeiro 67%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Cruzeiro has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.26. Grêmio: 11.5 shots per match, Cruzeiro: 15.2.

Match halves

Grêmio: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.63. Cruzeiro: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.93.

Goals by minute

Grêmio: 46-60 (9 goals). Cruzeiro: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.10)
(3.40)
(2.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.07Goals scored / match1.53
GrêmioCruzeiro
1.33Goals conceded / match1.47
GrêmioCruzeiro
50%Average possession55%
GrêmioCruzeiro
3.63Shots on target / match5.3
GrêmioCruzeiro

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.53Shots per match15.17
GrêmioCruzeiro
3.63Shots on target5.3
GrêmioCruzeiro
9.2%Shot conversion10.1%
GrêmioCruzeiro
50%Possession55%
GrêmioCruzeiro
1.26xG for1.67
GrêmioCruzeiro
1.71xG against1.47
GrêmioCruzeiro

Shooting quality

Grêmio: BalancedCruzeiro: Dominant
GrêmioCruzeiro
Accuracy (shots on target)31%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cruzeiro is 200% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.8 pts / match - Cruzeiro

Grêmio
LLDDD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
23% W33% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-10-13
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-5-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.37Opponent xG: 2.04BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Cruzeiro
WLWWL
Season result split
47% W20% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-6-10
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-2-7
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 2.22BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cruzeiro is 43% better for: goals scored per match.

1.07 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.53 goals / match - Cruzeiro

Grêmio is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.47 goals / match - Cruzeiro

Grêmio scoring profile: very strong

Grêmio scores in 67% of matches (20 of 30 matches), while Cruzeiro keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

Cruzeiro scoring profile: very strong

Cruzeiro scores in 87% of matches (26 of 30 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

32Goals scored (season)46
GrêmioCruzeiro
40Goals conceded (season)44
GrêmioCruzeiro
2.4Average goals in match3
GrêmioCruzeiro
5Goals scored (last 5)11
GrêmioCruzeiro
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
GrêmioCruzeiro

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal87%
GrêmioCruzeiro
23%2 goals50%
GrêmioCruzeiro
10%3 goals17%
GrêmioCruzeiro
3%4 goals0%
GrêmioCruzeiro

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal80%
GrêmioCruzeiro
40%2 goals37%
GrêmioCruzeiro
13%3 goals20%
GrêmioCruzeiro
0%4 goals10%
GrêmioCruzeiro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time27%
GrêmioCruzeiro
10%BTTS in both halves7%
GrêmioCruzeiro
17%Scored in both halves37%
GrêmioCruzeiro

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
GrêmioCruzeiro
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
GrêmioCruzeiro
80%BTTS - last 580%
GrêmioCruzeiro

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
GrêmioCruzeiro
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
GrêmioCruzeiro
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
GrêmioCruzeiro

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
GrêmioCruzeiro
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
GrêmioCruzeiro
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
GrêmioCruzeiro

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grêmio - half-time state
20% leading53% draw27% trailing
Cruzeiro - half-time state
27% leading37% draw37% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.17
GrêmioCruzeiro
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.6
GrêmioCruzeiro
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.8
GrêmioCruzeiro
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.4
GrêmioCruzeiro
57%Clean sheet before half-time40%
GrêmioCruzeiro
60%No goal before half-time47%
GrêmioCruzeiro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1.57
GrêmioCruzeiro
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.93
GrêmioCruzeiro
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
GrêmioCruzeiro
1.43Average goals (2nd half)1.6
GrêmioCruzeiro
40%Clean sheet after half-time57%
GrêmioCruzeiro
57%No goal after half-time30%
GrêmioCruzeiro

Grêmio - second-half results

27% W33% D40% L
34
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cruzeiro - second-half results

40% W37% D23% L
35
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
47
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding174%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grêmio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Cruzeiro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.60
Goals scored / match0.61.6
Goals conceded / match1.40.2
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference-4+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grêmio
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
6
16-30
7
8
31-45
9
7
46-60
5
11
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Cruzeiro
ScoredConceded
5
7
0-15
5
8
16-30
8
9
31-45
7
7
46-60
8
2
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grêmio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Cruzeiro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
134%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

GrêmioLigaCruzeiro
Average goals in match▼ 2.402.68▲ 3.00
Both teams scored• 60%60%▲ 70%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 43%52%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▼ 20%23%▼ 20%
Goal before half-time▼ 60%75%▲ 87%
Goal after half-time▼ 77%79%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.68
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+35%
Home attack advantage
+26%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Grêmio 0 - 0 - 3 Cruzeiro. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

Cruzeiro
2 : 0
Grêmio
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense
0 : 1
Cruzeiro EC
Cruzeiro EC
4 : 1
Grêmio FB Porto Alegrense

FAQ

When do Grêmio and Cruzeiro play?

Grêmio face Cruzeiro on 18 October 2026 in Serie A at Arena do Grêmio. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Cruzeiro?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 0, Cruzeiro won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?

Grêmio score 1.07 goals per game on average and Cruzeiro 1.53. The Serie A average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Grêmio's matches and 70% of Cruzeiro's.

What form are Grêmio and Cruzeiro in?

Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Cruzeiro 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Cruzeiro?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.