Grêmio vs Fluminense: match statistics
Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio played Fluminense in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 3 December 2025. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Grêmio: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fluminense: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.17 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Fluminense scores 1.28 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 56%, Fluminense 39%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 36%, Fluminense 39%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Fluminense has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.30. Grêmio: 12.1 shots per match, Fluminense: 12.5.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.64. Fluminense: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 31-45+ (12 goals). Fluminense: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fluminense is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Grêmio · 2.2 pts / match - Fluminense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fluminense is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.28 goals / match - Fluminense
Fluminense is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.06 goals / match - Fluminense
Grêmio scores in 69% of matches (25 of 36 matches), while Fluminense keeps a clean sheet in 42% (15 of 36 matches).
Fluminense scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Fluminense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fluminense is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.39 pts / match - Fluminense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fluminense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Fluminense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Fluminense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.48 | ▼ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 48% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 45% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 70% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grêmio 0 - 0 - 1 Fluminense. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Fluminense?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:2 Fluminense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Fluminense?
Grêmio score 1.17 goals per game on average and Fluminense 1.28. The Serie A average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Grêmio's matches and 39% of Fluminense's.
What form are Grêmio and Fluminense in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fluminense 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Fluminense?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Fluminense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.