Grêmio vs Internacional: match statistics
Grêmio vs Internacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grêmio played Internacional in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Arena do Grêmio. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Grêmio: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Internacional: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grêmio scores 1.07 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Internacional scores 1.10 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grêmio 59%, Internacional 59%. Over 2.5: Grêmio 45%, Internacional 41%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Internacional has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.26. Grêmio: 11.5 shots per match, Internacional: 14.8.
Match halves
Grêmio: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.62. Internacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Grêmio: 46-60 (9 goals). Internacional: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grêmio sit 17th and Internacional 18th, but the home side's advantage is more pronounced on home turf: they have won 50% of their home matches, while the visitors have won 21% of their away games. Grêmio average 1.57 goals scored and 1.14 conceded at home, while Internacional score 1.00 and concede 1.43 on the road. The hosts also record more shots on target per match (4.86 to 3.43), although the difference in the quality of chances created is small: their average xG is 1.50 compared with the visitors' 1.41. Caution is warranted, as Grêmio have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, but Internacional have suffered 4 defeats over the same period and conceded 11 goals, compared with 7 by the hosts. Home advantage and the visitors' recent defensive struggles point to a Grêmio win, although a draw remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Across the season, both teams scored in 57% of matches involving either side, rising to 60% for Grêmio and 80% for Internacional over their last five games. The visitors have conceded an average of 2.2 goals per match recently, which, combined with Grêmio's average of 1.78 xG created, strengthens the hosts' chances of scoring. Internacional have averaged 1.4 goals across their last five matches, while Grêmio have allowed opponents chances worth 2.2 xG, making an away goal a realistic prospect as well. Caution is warranted, as Internacional have failed to score in 36% of their matches this season; however, the current figures point more strongly towards BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 71% of matches involving either team, providing a solid basis for backing Over 1.5 goals. Grêmio average 1.78 xG, while Internacional concede 1.43 goals per match; conversely, the visitors generate 1.41 xG, against an average of 1.14 goals conceded by the hosts. Recent form also points to goals: Grêmio's last five matches averaged 2.6 goals, while Internacional's averaged 3.6. However, this does not provide an equally strong case for higher lines, as Over 2.5 goals landed in only 36% of the hosts' matches and 43% of the visitors' matches over the full season. With 2.66 total goals projected, Over 1.5 is the safest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal concerns the start of the match: Grêmio led at the break in 40% of their last five matches, while Internacional were trailing at that point in as many as 80%. In those same matches, the hosts conceded an average of 0.2 goals before half-time, compared with 2.0 for the visitors, pointing to Grêmio leading after 45 minutes. The hosts’ superior chance quality also supports them maintaining that advantage: their average xG is 1.78 versus 1.41 for their opponents, and they average 5.07 shots on target compared with 3.43. However, the risk of a draw is significant, as Internacional won the second half in 60% of their last five matches, while Grêmio did not win any. Despite the hosts’ weakness after the break, the combination of a clear early advantage and stronger attacking numbers over the full match makes Grêmio leading at half-time and winning at full-time the most likely single scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grêmio | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Internacional is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Grêmio · 1.2 pts / match - Internacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Internacional is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - Grêmio · 1.28 goals / match - Internacional
Grêmio scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Internacional keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
Internacional scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grêmio
Over / Under - Internacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Internacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grêmio
Internacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Grêmio | Liga | Internacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.41 | 2.66 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | • 59% | 60% | • 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 23% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- InternacionalSubstitutionOn: Johan Stiven Carbonero BalantaOff: Alerrandro Barra Mansa Realino de Souza
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Grêmio 1 - 2 - 0 Internacional. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grêmio vs Internacional?
The Serie A match finished Grêmio 1:1 Internacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grêmio and Internacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Grêmio won 1, Internacional won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grêmio vs Internacional?
Grêmio score 1.07 goals per game on average and Internacional 1.10. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Grêmio's matches and 59% of Internacional's.
What form are Grêmio and Internacional in?
Over the last 5 games Grêmio have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Internacional 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grêmio vs Internacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grêmio vs Internacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.