Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans: match statistics
Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grenoble Foot 38 played Le Mans in Ligue 2 (France). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Grenoble Foot 38: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Le Mans: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grenoble Foot 38 scores 0.97 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Le Mans scores 1.48 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grenoble Foot 38 58%, Le Mans 48%. Over 2.5: Grenoble Foot 38 42%, Le Mans 39%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Le Mans has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.23. Grenoble Foot 38: 10.4 shots per match, Le Mans: 11.2.
Match halves
Grenoble Foot 38: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.52. Le Mans: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Grenoble Foot 38: 76-90+ (12 goals). Le Mans: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 2: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Le Mans is the favorite for this match: they sit 3rd in the table versus Grenoble’s 13th and have 15 wins this season compared to the home side’s 6. The visitors are in much better form — 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 13 goals scored, while Grenoble haven’t won in their last five and have scored 6; Le Mans averages 1.8 goals on the road versus Grenoble’s 0.8 at home. The difference in conversion is significant: visitors’ shot conversion is 18% versus 8% for the hosts, with average shots on target 4.27 vs 3.57, and xG is similar (1.22 for Le Mans away vs 1.25 for Grenoble at home), which suggests Le Mans have the edge in finishing chances. Grenoble do have a defensive edge at home — conceding 0.87 goals on average, 47% clean sheets and as many as 60% draws in home matches, so a draw is a realistic scenario. Considering form (Le Mans 2.6 points per game in the last 5 vs Grenoble 0.6) and the visitors’ higher efficiency, I predict a Le Mans win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I forecast BTTS - Yes, because Le Mans are in clear scoring form — 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 per game) and 1.8 goals per game on the season. Although Grenoble concede only 0.44 goals per home game and have 69% clean sheets on the season (which favors No BTTS), their last 5 matches show the opposite trend: Grenoble conceded 1.6 goals on average and had 80% BTTS in that period. xG also supports a both-teams-to-score scenario: Grenoble has 1.43 xG per game versus Le Mans 1.22 xG, with xG against 1.06 and 1.13 respectively, and Le Mans feature a higher shooting conversion 18% versus Grenoble 10%, boosting the visitors' chance to score. Seasonal indicators are mixed (BTTS Grenoble 25% vs BTTS Le Mans 73%, league average BTTS 51%), but recent form and Le Mans’ clear attacking form lead me to a 68% assessment for Yes and 32% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (home xG 1.43 and xG against 1.13; away xG 1.22 and xG against 1.06) yields expected goals of 1.28 for Grenoble and 1.14 for Le Mans, total 2.42. With a total of 2.42, a Poisson distribution gives about a 70% chance for Over 1.5, about 44% for Over 2.5 and about 22% for Over 3.5. Grenoble concedes only 0.44 goals at home on the season and has 69% clean sheets, whereas Le Mans scored 13 goals in the last 5 matches (2.6 average), increasing offensive pressure. Given the low home concede average and the expected total of 2.42, the strongest signal is Under 3.5 (under rated 78%), although Over 1.5 remains likely (~70%). Therefore I recommend Under 3.5 as the safest and statistically justified option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Grenoble at home led at the break in 5 matches (31%) and were level at half-time in 11 (69%), not trailing at half-time (0%), with average first-half goals of 0.44 scored and 0.0 conceded. Le Mans away have 6 leads at the break (40%) and average 1.0 first-half goals, but their clean sheet percentage on the road is only 20% versus Grenoble’s 69% at home, and the overall BTTS rate for the visitors is 73% compared to 25% for the hosts. xG favors Grenoble 1.43 to 1.22, and the hosts concede on average 0.44 goals per match while posting a 56% home win rate, giving them an advantage in the closing stages. Second halves produce goals (hosts’ second-half average 1.19, 75% of their second halves >0.5 goals), so a scenario of a level Half-Time and a Grenoble turnaround to win Full-Time (X/1) appears the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grenoble Foot 38 | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Le Mans is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Grenoble Foot 38 · 2.6 pts / match - Le Mans
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Le Mans is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Grenoble Foot 38 · 1.48 goals / match - Le Mans
Le Mans is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Grenoble Foot 38 · 0.94 goals / match - Le Mans
Grenoble Foot 38 scores in 65% of matches (20 of 31 matches), while Le Mans keeps a clean sheet in 45% (14 of 31 matches).
Le Mans scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Grenoble Foot 38 keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grenoble Foot 38
Over / Under - Le Mans
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Le Mans is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Grenoble Foot 38 · 1.68 pts / match - Le Mans
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grenoble Foot 38 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 19%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Le Mans - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grenoble Foot 38
Le Mans
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Grenoble Foot 38 | Liga | Le Mans | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.48 | • 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 30% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 66% | ▼ 52% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grenoble Foot 38 0 - 0 - 1 Le Mans. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans?
The Ligue 2 match finished Grenoble Foot 38 1:1 Le Mans. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans?
Grenoble Foot 38 score 0.97 goals per game on average and Le Mans 1.48. The Ligue 2 average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Grenoble Foot 38's matches and 48% of Le Mans's.
What form are Grenoble Foot 38 and Le Mans in?
Over the last 5 games Grenoble Foot 38 have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Le Mans 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grenoble Foot 38 vs Le Mans: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.