Greuther Fürth vs Magdeburg: match statistics

Magdeburg sit higher in the table, in 4th place compared with Greuther Fürth’s 11th, and have won 4 of their last five matches, scoring 13 goals. Over the same period, the hosts have suffered 3 defeats, scored 8 goals and conceded as many as 11, highlighting clear defensive problems. Away from home, Magdeburg average 2 goals per match with an xG of 1.84, while Fürth concede an average of 2.5 goals at home and are yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors also create more shots, averaging 17.5 compared with 14, and tend to dominate possession, recording 63% against the hosts’ 56%. Fürth do have a home xG of 1.65, but have not won a single home match and failed to score in 50% of those fixtures, which is why the advantage lies with an in-form Magdeburg.

Greuther Fürth has recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.2 goals during this period, clearly increasing Magdeburg’s chances of scoring. Magdeburg are in excellent attacking form: they have scored 13 goals in five matches, averaging 2.6, while their average xG stands at 1.73. The hosts also have goalscoring arguments, averaging 5.0 shots on target per match, while Magdeburg, despite their strong run, have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches this season. On the other hand, the visitors have conceded only 2 goals in their last five matches, and their BTTS rate during this period is just 20%, so the case for “Yes” is not particularly strong. Overall, Magdeburg’s high attacking potential against Fürth’s recently weak defense makes the scenario with both teams scoring slightly more likely.

Both teams have cleared the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their league matches so far, while Magdeburg have recorded Over 2.5 goals in 100% of their games. Greuther Fürth average 2.0 goals scored but also concede 2.0 per match, which aligns well with Magdeburg’s attacking potential: 2.0 goals scored and 1.84 xG per game. The visitors average 17.5 shots and 5.5 shots on target, while Fürth allow opponents 1.98 xG, resulting in a projected goal tally of 1.75. Caution with higher lines is warranted due to Magdeburg’s recent defensive form, having conceded only 0.4 goals per match across their last five games, but the Over 1.5 line remains the strongest signal.

Magdeburg have been clearly stronger in their last five matches: they have won 80% of them, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.4, while Greuther Fürth have recorded only a 20% win rate, with averages of 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The visitors have been particularly strong starters, leading at the break in 60% of their last five appearances, scoring an average of 1.6 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.2. Over the same period, Fürth were trailing at half-time in 60% of their matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded before the break. Magdeburg’s advantage continues after the interval, as they have scored an average of 1.0 goal in the second half across their last five matches and kept a clean sheet in 80% of those second halves. The most likely scenario is therefore for the visitors to take the lead at the break and secure the win, resulting in an HT/FT 2/2 outcome.