Greuther Fürth vs Paderborn: match statistics
Greuther Fürth vs Paderborn: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Greuther Fürth play Paderborn in 2. Bundesliga (Germany). The match date is 5 April 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Greuther Fürth: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Paderborn: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Greuther Fürth scores 1.44 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Paderborn scores 1.74 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.93 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Greuther Fürth 62%, Paderborn 68%. Over 2.5: Greuther Fürth 68%, Paderborn 62%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Paderborn has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.31. Greuther Fürth: 11.9 shots per match, Paderborn: 15.3.
Match halves
Greuther Fürth: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.82. Paderborn: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Greuther Fürth: 76-90+ (17 goals). Paderborn: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
2. Bundesliga: 2.93 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Paderborn are favorites in this match: they sit 3rd in the table and have 15 wins this season versus Greuther Fürth's 8, with a superior goal record 45–31 compared to 40–59. In chance creation Paderborn have a clear edge: away they average 13.54 shots, 4.77 SOT and xG 1.49, while Fürth at home manage 9.85 shots, 3.31 SOT and xG 1.10; however hosts convert 15% of their shots versus 10% for the visitors. The defensive differential is decisive — Paderborn concede just 0.92 goals per away match, while Fürth concede 2.00 at home, with clean sheet rates 38% for the visitors versus 23% for the hosts. In the last 5 matches Paderborn have scored 12 goals and are 3–2–0 (PPG 2.2), whereas Fürth have 8 goals in a 3–1–1 run (PPG 2.0), so although the hosts are in decent form, the visitors create more and are more defensively stable. Considering Paderborn’s 46% away win rate versus Fürth’s 31% home win rate, superior xG (1.49 vs 1.10) and significantly lower goals conceded rate (0.92 vs 2.00), I predict a victory for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Greuther Fürth | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Greuther Fürth is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Greuther Fürth · 1 pts / match - Paderborn
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paderborn is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.44 goals / match - Greuther Fürth · 1.74 goals / match - Paderborn
Paderborn is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Greuther Fürth · 1.32 goals / match - Paderborn
Greuther Fürth scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Paderborn keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Paderborn scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Greuther Fürth keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Greuther Fürth
Over / Under — Paderborn
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paderborn is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.03 pts / match - Greuther Fürth · 1.53 pts / match - Paderborn
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Greuther Fürth - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paderborn - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Greuther Fürth
Paderborn
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (2. Bundesliga).
Teams vs league
| Greuther Fürth | Liga | Paderborn | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 2.93 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Greuther Fürth 0 - 0 - 1 Paderborn. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Greuther Fürth vs Paderborn?
The 2. Bundesliga match finished Greuther Fürth 0:2 Paderborn. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Greuther Fürth vs Paderborn?
Greuther Fürth score 1.44 goals per game on average and Paderborn 1.74. The 2. Bundesliga average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Greuther Fürth's matches and 68% of Paderborn's.
What form are Greuther Fürth and Paderborn in?
Over the last 5 games Greuther Fürth have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Paderborn 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Greuther Fürth vs Paderborn?
The statistical background for Greuther Fürth vs Paderborn — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.