Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley: match statistics
Grimsby Town performs decidedly better as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The home team is in excellent form with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters, remaining unbeaten. Accrington Stanley has a weaker away record with only 29% away wins and a negative goal difference of -2, as well as a high rate of matches without scoring at 43%. Grimsby also possesses better offensive statistics in home games, with an average of 1.43 goals per match and higher expected goals (xG 1.79 vs 1.29). Given the hosts' advantage in possession (62%) and a solid defense that kept a clean sheet in 36% of home matches, I expect a victory for Grimsby Town, although the visitors' form in the last five matches (three wins) warrants caution.
Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grimsby Town played Accrington Stanley in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 11 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Grimsby Town: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Accrington Stanley: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grimsby Town scores 1.41 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Accrington Stanley scores 1.21 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grimsby Town 45%, Accrington Stanley 45%. Over 2.5: Grimsby Town 41%, Accrington Stanley 34%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.45. Grimsby Town: 13.7 shots per match, Accrington Stanley: 12.9.
Match halves
Grimsby Town: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Accrington Stanley: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Grimsby Town: 0-15 (8 goals). Accrington Stanley: 61-75 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grimsby Town performs decidedly better as the host, confirmed by a 43% home win rate and a positive goal difference of +7 in home matches. The home team is in excellent form with three wins and two draws in their last five encounters, remaining unbeaten. Accrington Stanley has a weaker away record with only 29% away wins and a negative goal difference of -2, as well as a high rate of matches without scoring at 43%. Grimsby also possesses better offensive statistics in home games, with an average of 1.43 goals per match and higher expected goals (xG 1.79 vs 1.29). Given the hosts' advantage in possession (62%) and a solid defense that kept a clean sheet in 36% of home matches, I expect a victory for Grimsby Town, although the visitors' form in the last five matches (three wins) warrants caution.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 2 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.21 goals / match - Accrington Stanley
Accrington Stanley is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.03 goals / match - Accrington Stanley
Grimsby Town scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Accrington Stanley keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Accrington Stanley scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
Over / Under - Accrington Stanley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Accrington Stanley is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 1.62 pts / match - Accrington Stanley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Accrington Stanley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 41%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grimsby Town
Accrington Stanley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Accrington Stanley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.52 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 54% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 49% | ▼ 34% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 69% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 66% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grimsby Town 0 - 1 - 0 Accrington Stanley. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 1:0 Accrington Stanley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?
Grimsby Town score 1.41 goals per game on average and Accrington Stanley 1.21. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Grimsby Town's matches and 45% of Accrington Stanley's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Accrington Stanley 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley?
The statistical background for Grimsby Town vs Accrington Stanley — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.