Grimsby Town vs Barnet: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Grimsby Town present solid home form with 42% victories and a good xG advantage (1.82 vs 0.97); however, a high home loss percentage (42%) and only 33% clean sheets raise concerns. Barnet impress in away matches with 50% clean sheets and just 17% losses, making them a difficult opponent on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Grimsby: 2.0 PPG, Barnet: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches), and Barnet's high percentage of away draws (42%) further supports a split of points. Given the close xG values, similar shot efficiency (both teams at 9%), and the balance between the hosts' offense and the visitors' defense, a draw appears the most probable outcome.
Grimsby Town vs Barnet: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grimsby Town played Barnet in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Grimsby Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Barnet: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grimsby Town scores 1.46 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Barnet scores 1.33 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grimsby Town 50%, Barnet 50%. Over 2.5: Grimsby Town 46%, Barnet 42%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Barnet has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.61. Grimsby Town: 14.0 shots per match, Barnet: 14.6.
Match halves
Grimsby Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.67. Barnet: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Grimsby Town: 76-90+ (8 goals). Barnet: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Grimsby Town present solid home form with 42% victories and a good xG advantage (1.82 vs 0.97); however, a high home loss percentage (42%) and only 33% clean sheets raise concerns. Barnet impress in away matches with 50% clean sheets and just 17% losses, making them a difficult opponent on the road. The recent form of both teams is similar (Grimsby: 2.0 PPG, Barnet: 1.4 PPG in the last 5 matches), and Barnet's high percentage of away draws (42%) further supports a split of points. Given the close xG values, similar shot efficiency (both teams at 9%), and the balance between the hosts' offense and the visitors' defense, a draw appears the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.46 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.33 goals / match - Barnet
Barnet is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.08 goals / match - Barnet
Grimsby Town scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Barnet keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Barnet scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
Over / Under - Barnet
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Barnet - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grimsby Town
Barnet
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Grimsby Town 0 - 0 - 1 Barnet. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Barnet?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 1:0 Barnet. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Barnet?
Grimsby Town score 1.46 goals per game on average and Barnet 1.33. The EFL League Two average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Grimsby Town's matches and 50% of Barnet's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Barnet in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Barnet 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Barnet?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.