England - EFL League TwoBlundell ParkData current as of 16 October 2026

Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Grimsby Town play Northampton Town in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Blundell Park.

Current form

Grimsby Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Northampton Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Grimsby Town scores 1.30 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Northampton Town scores 0.50 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.48 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grimsby Town 50%, Northampton Town 38%. Over 2.5: Grimsby Town 50%, Northampton Town 0%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

xG, shots and style

Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.12. Grimsby Town: 15.0 shots per match, Northampton Town: 10.3.

Match halves

Grimsby Town: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50. Northampton Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.13.

Goals by minute

Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). Northampton Town: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.48 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.81)
(3.72)
(3.87)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.3Goals scored / match0.5
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.1Goals conceded / match0.88
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
55%Average possession44%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
4.5Shots on target / match3.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match10.25
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
4.5Shots on target3.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
8.7%Shot conversion4.9%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
55%Possession44%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.64xG for1.12
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.2xG against1.19
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Shooting quality

Grimsby Town: DominantNorthampton Town: Balanced
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
Accuracy (shots on target)30%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Grimsby Town is 20% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 1 pts / match - Northampton Town

Grimsby Town
WWLLL
Season result split
30% W40% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Northampton Town
DWLLD
Season result split
13% W50% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-4-3
0.88 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.12Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grimsby Town is 160% better for: goals scored per match.

1.3 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 0.5 goals / match - Northampton Town

Northampton Town is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 0.88 goals / match - Northampton Town

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Northampton Town scoring profile: mixed

Northampton Town scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

13Goals scored (season)4
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
11Goals conceded (season)7
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
2.4Average goals in match1.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
6Goals scored (last 5)3
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal50%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%2 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%3 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%4 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal75%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%2 goals13%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%3 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%4 goals0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time13%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%BTTS in both halves0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%Scored in both halves0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
40%BTTS - last 540%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grimsby Town is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 1.38 pts / match - Northampton Town

Grimsby Town - half-time state
40% leading30% draw30% trailing
Northampton Town - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.75
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
50%No goal before half-time63%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)0.75
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.13
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
0.5Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
1Average goals (2nd half)0.63
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
60%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town
60%No goal after half-time88%
Grimsby TownNorthampton Town

Grimsby Town - second-half results

10% W70% D20% L
15
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Northampton Town - second-half results

13% W38% D50% L
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding52%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Grimsby Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Northampton Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.80
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
2
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Northampton Town
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.89
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Northampton Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
59%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Grimsby TownLigaNorthampton Town
Average goals in match• 2.402.48▼ 1.38
Both teams scored▼ 50%53%▼ 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%43%▼ 0%
Clean sheets▲ 40%28%▼ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%66%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 50%76%▼ 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.48
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.49
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+51%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+31%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Grimsby Town and Northampton Town play?

Grimsby Town face Northampton Town on 17 October 2026 in EFL League Two at Blundell Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town?

Grimsby Town score 1.30 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.50. The EFL League Two average is 2.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Grimsby Town's matches and 38% of Northampton Town's.

What form are Grimsby Town and Northampton Town in?

Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Northampton Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Northampton Town?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.