Grimsby Town vs Notts County: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Grimsby Town played Notts County in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 13 December 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Grimsby Town: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Notts County: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Grimsby Town scores 1.74 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Notts County scores 1.74 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.69 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Grimsby Town 63%, Notts County 68%. Over 2.5: Grimsby Town 58%, Notts County 63%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.30. Grimsby Town: 14.7 shots per match, Notts County: 10.7.

Match halves

Grimsby Town: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.74. Notts County: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Grimsby Town: 0-15 (7 goals). Notts County: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

59Possession (%)41
Grimsby TownNotts County
17Shots9
Grimsby TownNotts County
5Shots on target2
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.86xG0.94
Grimsby TownNotts County
6Corners3
Grimsby TownNotts County
60Dangerous attacks31
Grimsby TownNotts County
15Fouls13
Grimsby TownNotts County
1Cards3
Grimsby TownNotts County

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Grimsby TownNotts County
1.74Goals scored / match1.74
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.37Goals conceded / match1.16
Grimsby TownNotts County
59%Average possession55%
Grimsby TownNotts County
5.05Shots on target / match4.47
Grimsby TownNotts County

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.74Shots per match10.68
Grimsby TownNotts County
5.05Shots on target4.47
Grimsby TownNotts County
11.8%Shot conversion16.3%
Grimsby TownNotts County
59%Possession55%
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.67xG for1.3
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.17xG against1.23
Grimsby TownNotts County

Shooting quality

Grimsby Town: DominantNotts County: Efficient finishing
Grimsby TownNotts County
Accuracy (shots on target)34%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Notts County is 233% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 2 pts / match - Notts County

Grimsby Town
DLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
37% W32% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-6
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-4
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.65Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Notts County
WDLWW
Season result split
53% W21% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-5
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.39Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Notts County is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.16 goals / match - Notts County

Grimsby Town scoring profile: very strong

Grimsby Town scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Notts County keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).

Notts County scoring profile: very strong

Notts County scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).

33Goals scored (season)33
Grimsby TownNotts County
26Goals conceded (season)22
Grimsby TownNotts County
3.11Average goals in match2.89
Grimsby TownNotts County
6Goals scored (last 5)8
Grimsby TownNotts County
8Goals conceded (last 5)7
Grimsby TownNotts County

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal95%
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%2 goals47%
Grimsby TownNotts County
21%3 goals21%
Grimsby TownNotts County
5%4 goals11%
Grimsby TownNotts County

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal74%
Grimsby TownNotts County
42%2 goals37%
Grimsby TownNotts County
16%3 goals5%
Grimsby TownNotts County
0%4 goals0%
Grimsby TownNotts County

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time32%
Grimsby TownNotts County
0%BTTS in both halves5%
Grimsby TownNotts County
16%Scored in both halves26%
Grimsby TownNotts County

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Grimsby TownNotts County
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Grimsby TownNotts County
80%BTTS - last 580%
Grimsby TownNotts County

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
Grimsby TownNotts County
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
Grimsby TownNotts County

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Grimsby TownNotts County
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
Grimsby TownNotts County
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Grimsby TownNotts County

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grimsby Town is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.53 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 1.32 pts / match - Notts County

Grimsby Town - half-time state
37% leading42% draw21% trailing
Notts County - half-time state
26% leading53% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.53Points per match (1st half)1.32
Grimsby TownNotts County
1Goals scored (1st half)0.74
Grimsby TownNotts County
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.63Average goals (1st half)1.32
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%Clean sheet before half-time47%
Grimsby TownNotts County
42%No goal before half-time53%
Grimsby TownNotts County

After half-time (2nd half)

1.16Points per match (2nd half)1.68
Grimsby TownNotts County
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)1
Grimsby TownNotts County
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.58
Grimsby TownNotts County
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.58
Grimsby TownNotts County
47%Clean sheet after half-time47%
Grimsby TownNotts County
58%No goal after half-time26%
Grimsby TownNotts County

Grimsby Town - second-half results

26% W37% D37% L
29
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.53
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Notts County - second-half results

47% W26% D26% L
25
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding204%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Grimsby Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5
Notts County - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.81.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Grimsby Town
ScoredConceded
7
2
0-15
6
4
16-30
6
6
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Notts County
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
2
16-30
3
5
31-45
4
5
46-60
7
1
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
80%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Grimsby Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Notts County

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Grimsby TownLigaNotts County
Average goals in match▲ 3.112.69▲ 2.89
Both teams scored▲ 63%57%▲ 68%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%50%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▼ 21%24%▲ 26%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%71%▼ 68%
Goal after half-time▲ 79%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.24
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Notts CountyYellow cardMatthew James Platt
  2. Grimsby TownYellow cardCameron McJannett
  3. Notts CountyGoalMatthew DennisAssist: Lewis Macarai
  4. Notts CountyYellow cardKelle Roos
  5. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Qamaruddin Maziar KouhyarOff: Conor Michael Grant
  6. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Jack HinchyOff: Matthew Dennis
  7. Notts CountySubstitutionOn: Lucas NessOff: Lewis Macarai
  8. Notts CountyGoalAlassana Jatta
  9. Notts CountyYellow cardAlassana Jatta

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 0:2 Notts County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

Grimsby Town score 1.74 goals per game on average and Notts County 1.74. The EFL League Two average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Grimsby Town's matches and 68% of Notts County's.

What form are Grimsby Town and Notts County in?

Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Notts County 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Notts County?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.