Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town: match statistics
Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grimsby Town played Shrewsbury Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Blundell Park. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Grimsby Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Shrewsbury Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grimsby Town scores 1.50 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Shrewsbury Town scores 0.88 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grimsby Town 50%, Shrewsbury Town 38%. Over 2.5: Grimsby Town 50%, Shrewsbury Town 38%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.44. Grimsby Town: 14.8 shots per match, Shrewsbury Town: 13.8.
Match halves
Grimsby Town: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Shrewsbury Town: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (5 goals). Shrewsbury Town: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grimsby Town sit 6th and have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while 18th-placed Shrewsbury Town have lost 3 of their 4 away games. At home, the hosts average 1.75 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, whereas the visitors manage just 0.25 goals per away game and concede 2. The difference in finishing is particularly clear: Grimsby have scored in every home match, while Shrewsbury have failed to score in 75% of their away games. Although the visitors’ away xG stands at 1.6, suggesting they have the potential to create chances, their 2% shot conversion rate limits their ability to take advantage of them. Grimsby are coming off two consecutive league matches without a win, but home advantage and a significantly stronger record on their own ground point to a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication against both teams scoring is Shrewsbury’s away form: the visitors average just 0.25 goals and have failed to score in 75% of such matches. Grimsby keep a clean sheet in 50% of their home games, further increasing the risk that the visitors will not score. The hosts have considerably better scoring prospects, averaging 1.5 goals at home, while Shrewsbury concede 2.0 goals away. A potential counterpoint is the visitors’ xG of 1.60 and an average of 1.0 goals scored in their last 5 matches, but their 2% away scoring effectiveness does not indicate that they regularly convert their chances. Therefore, BTTS - No is more likely: at least one team is expected to fail to score, though this is not without risk and does not necessarily mean the match will end 0-0.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: all of Shrewsbury’s away matches and half of Grimsby’s home games finished below this line. The visitors average just 0.25 goals away from home and failed to score in 75% of those matches, limiting the chances of a high-scoring game. Grimsby have greater attacking potential, averaging 1.5 goals at home, while Shrewsbury concede 2.0 away, but neither team scored more than 2 goals in these matches. The projected total of 2.4 goals is also close to the league average of 2.55, making the 3.5 line a safer margin than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Grimsby Town leading at the break and holding on to their advantage until the end: the hosts average 1.0 goal scored before half-time, while Shrewsbury concede 1.25 in that period. The visitors were trailing at half-time in 3 of 4 matches and did not lead in any, although Grimsby’s half-time draw in 3 of 4 first halves makes X/1 a significant alternative. The case for a home win is also supported by an average of 1.5 goals scored compared with just 0.25 for the visitors, who have lost 75% of their matches and failed to score in 75%. Shrewsbury did not score after the break in any of those 4 matches, increasing the likelihood that Grimsby would preserve any lead. However, caution is warranted, as the visitors’ xG stands at 1.60 compared with 1.29 for the hosts, so their finishing so far may understate the attacking threat they pose.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grimsby Town | Shrewsbury Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grimsby Town is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 1 pts / match - Shrewsbury Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grimsby Town is 70% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 0.88 goals / match - Shrewsbury Town
Grimsby Town is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Grimsby Town · 1.63 goals / match - Shrewsbury Town
Grimsby Town scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Shrewsbury Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
Shrewsbury Town scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
Over / Under - Shrewsbury Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 114% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.88 pts / match - Grimsby Town · 0.88 pts / match - Shrewsbury Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shrewsbury Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grimsby Town
Shrewsbury Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Grimsby Town | Liga | Shrewsbury Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.59 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 46% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 75% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Grimsby Town 1 - 1 - 0 Shrewsbury Town. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Grimsby Town 1:2 Shrewsbury Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grimsby Town and Shrewsbury Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Grimsby Town won 1, Shrewsbury Town won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
Grimsby Town score 1.50 goals per game on average and Shrewsbury Town 0.88. The EFL League Two average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Grimsby Town's matches and 38% of Shrewsbury Town's.
What form are Grimsby Town and Shrewsbury Town in?
Over the last 5 games Grimsby Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shrewsbury Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.