Grobiņa vs Riga: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Riga: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grobiņa played Riga in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Grobiņa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Riga: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grobiņa scores 0.67 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Riga scores 3.67 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grobiņa 33%, Riga 83%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 0%, Riga 100%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Riga has higher xG: 2.03 vs 1.09. Grobiņa: 8.8 shots per match, Riga: 17.3.
Match halves
Grobiņa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.17. Riga: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.00.
Goals by minute
Grobiņa: 0-15 (1 goals). Riga: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-3. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Riga is the clear favorite based on the metrics: the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 21 goals in those games, averaging 3.75 goals per away match with 15.75 shots and 6.25 on target per game. Grobiņa at home cannot score — averaging 0 goals per match, 100% of home games without a goal and only 2 shots on target and 7.5 total shots, which significantly limits their chance-creation. The quality gap is also evident in xG: Riga posts an average xG for 1.87 away, while Grobiņa has just 0.91 at home, with a conversion rate of 24% for the visitors versus 0% for the hosts. Riga’s control of the ball (65% possession vs 45% for the hosts) and superior efficiency translate into a strong net record — Riga is +11 in goal difference away, whereas Grobiņa is -3 at home with 100% home defeats. Considering these figures and current form (Riga averaging 2.6 points per game in the last 5, Grobiņa averaging 1), I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because seasonal and league indicators strongly support both teams scoring: Grobiņa has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and Riga 75%, with a league BTTS level of 61%. Seasonal goals averages are 3.5 scored and 2.5 conceded for Grobiņa and 3.75 scored and 1.0 conceded for Riga, and both teams have over 2.5 at 100%, which favors goal exchange. Quality-of-chances metrics show xG 2.36 for the home side versus 1.87 for the visitors and shots on target 6.5 vs 6.25; additionally Riga’s conversion is 24% vs the home side’s 17%, so Riga possesses real finishing power. In the last 5 matches Grobiņa averages only 0.6 goals per game and 40% BTTS versus Riga’s 4.2 goals and 80% BTTS, meaning that despite the home side’s poorer form Riga’s pressure increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. Therefore I assess BTTS probability at 80% for Yes and 20% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate total expected goals at 3.16 (1.79 for Grobiņa and 1.37 for Riga), calculated as the average of offensive xG and defensive xG: home xG 2.36 vs away defense xG 1.22 yields 1.79, and away xG 1.87 vs home defense 0.86 yields 1.37. Seasonal indicators strongly favor goals – both teams have a season rate of matches over 2.5 goals at 100%, and BTTS is 100% for Grobiņa and 75% for Riga. Riga is in excellent attacking form (21 goals in the last 5 matches, 4.2 average), while Grobiņa has scored 3 goals in 5 matches recently (0.6), but the hosts generate many shots (20.5 on average) and 6.5 on target per game. Shot efficiency is higher for the visitors (conversion 24% vs 17% for the hosts), which further boosts the likelihood of more goals. Based on this, the best signal is Over 2.5 (pick Over), since the combination of xG=3.16 and historical 100% Over 2.5 provides a high margin of safety (estimated probability ~86%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Riga appears to be the favorite to lead at the break and to win: in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) the visitors won and in 4 of 5 they led at half-time, with an average of 2.0 goals by half-time versus 0.6 for Grobiņa. Riga scored 3 goals in the 0–15 minute window while Grobiņa have none in that phase (3 vs 0), increasing the likelihood of the visitors leading already at half-time. Grobiņa generate higher home xG (2.36 vs 1.87 for Riga) and concede lower xG against (0.86), however Riga compensate with better shot conversion (24% vs the hosts’ 17%) and an average of 4.2 goals scored in their last 5 matches. For these reasons the most likely Half-Time/Full-Time outcome appears to be 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Riga | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.58 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Riga is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Grobiņa · 2.6 pts / match - Riga
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Riga is 448% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Grobiņa · 3.67 goals / match - Riga
Grobiņa is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.83 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.5 goals / match - Riga
Grobiņa scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Riga keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).
Riga scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - Riga
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Riga is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Grobiņa · 2.17 pts / match - Riga
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Riga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +7 | +7 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grobiņa
Riga
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Riga | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 2.79 | ▲ 5.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 64% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 48% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 18% | • 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Grobiņa 0 - 1 - 3 Riga. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Riga?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 0:3 Riga. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Riga?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Riga won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Riga?
Grobiņa score 0.67 goals per game on average and Riga 3.67. The Virsliga average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Grobiņa's matches and 83% of Riga's.
What form are Grobiņa and Riga in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Riga 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Riga?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.