Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS: match statistics
Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grobiņa played Rīgas FS in Virsliga (Latvia). The match was played on 22 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Grobiņa: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Rīgas FS: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grobiņa scores 0.57 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Rīgas FS scores 1.71 and concedes 0.43. League average: 2.81 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grobiņa 29%, Rīgas FS 29%. Over 2.5: Grobiņa 14%, Rīgas FS 29%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Rīgas FS has higher xG: 2.00 vs 1.00. Grobiņa: 8.0 shots per match, Rīgas FS: 17.1.
Match halves
Grobiņa: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.14. Rīgas FS: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Grobiņa: 0-15 (1 goals). Rīgas FS: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.81 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-4. Average goals 5.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Rīgas FS is the clear favorite: they have a 100% win rate away, averaging 1.33 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded per away match. In the last 5 fixtures they scored 9 goals and won 4 of 5, averaging 2.4 points per game. Grobiņa has no home wins (0% home wins), averages 0 goals scored and 2 conceded per home match, and have failed to score in 100% of home games. The visitors also dominate creation metrics: their average away xG is 1.87 versus the hosts' 0.74, with 15.67 shots and 5 on target on average compared to Grobiņa’s 6 shots and 1.33 on target, and possession 61% vs 38%. Additionally, Rīgas have 67% clean sheets away and an away goal difference of +3, while the hosts have a home goal difference of -6 and 0% clean sheets, translating into both defensive and offensive advantage for the visitors. Therefore I tip an away win ('2'), estimating probabilities of roughly 82% for Rīgas FS, 12% for a draw and 6% for a home upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project No BTTS (selection: no) with a 70% probability versus 30% for BTTS. Seasonal clean sheet rates are high: Grobiņa has 50% clean sheets, Rīgas FS 67%, and seasonal average goals conceded are 0.5 and 0.33 respectively, indicating a strong chance of at least one clean sheet. Although xG shows offensive potential (Grobiņa xG 2.1, Rīgas FS xG 1.87) and the league BTTS is 60%, the teams’ seasonal BTTS percentages are low: 25% and 33%, well below the league average. In the last 5 matches both teams have BTTS rates of 40% and 40%; Grobiņa in that period scored 3 and conceded 6 (0.6 and 1.2 per match), while Rīgas FS scored 9 and conceded 3 (1.8 and 0.6 per match), suggesting a higher likelihood of a one-sided scoreline than mutual scoring. Overall, higher clean sheet shares and low seasonal BTTS (25% vs 33%) provide a stronger signal against both teams scoring, hence the recommendation: No BTTS (No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Grobiņa scores on average 2.0 goals per home match (xG 2.10; 18.25 shots, 6.5 on target), while Rīgas FS averages 1.33 goals away with xG 1.87 (15.67 shots, 5.0 on target). Averaging the home offensive xG of Grobiņa (2.10) and the away defensive xG of Rīgas FS (0.70) yields an expected 1.40 goals for Grobiņa; similarly (1.87 + 0.65)/2 = 1.26 for Rīgas FS, giving a total expected goals of 2.66. With λ = 2.66 the Poisson distribution implies roughly a 75% chance of Over 1.5 goals (P≤1 ≈ 25%), about 50% for Over 2.5 and about 28% for Over 3.5, so the 1.5 line carries the strongest signal. Additionally, Grobiņa have Over1.5 in 75% of home matches, both teams have Over0.5 in 100% of matches, and Rīgas FS scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 avg), which supports a minimum-two-goals scenario. Based on this I recommend Over 1.5 as the best line (approx. Over 75% vs Under 25%); Over 2.5 is a coin flip (~50/50), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (~28%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time statistics show a clear advantage for Rīgas FS: the visitors led at the break in 3 of 3 matches (100%) and score on average 1.0 goals before half-time while conceding 0.0, whereas Grobiņa averages only 0.25 goals before the break and concedes 0.5. However, Grobiņa make up ground after the break — averaging 1.75 goals in the second half, scoring in 75% of matches after the break and collecting 10 points in those second halves (an average of 2.5 points). xG also favors the home side over the full match: Grobiņa generate 2.1 xG versus 1.87 xG for Rīgas FS, indicating more created chances despite the weaker start. Considering that Rīgas FS typically lead at the break and Grobiņa are highly effective after half-time, the most likely scenario is the visitors leading at half-time with Grobiņa staging a turnaround to win by full-time (HT 2 → FT 1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grobiņa | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rīgas FS is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Grobiņa · 2.4 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rīgas FS is 200% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - Grobiņa · 1.71 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Rīgas FS is 165% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Grobiņa · 0.43 goals / match - Rīgas FS
Grobiņa scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Rīgas FS keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
Rīgas FS scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Grobiņa keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grobiņa
Over / Under - Rīgas FS
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rīgas FS is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Grobiņa · 1.71 pts / match - Rīgas FS
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grobiņa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rīgas FS - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grobiņa
Rīgas FS
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Grobiņa | Liga | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.71 | 2.81 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 62% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 49% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 19% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 84% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Grobiņa 0 - 0 - 4 Rīgas FS. Average goals 5.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
The Virsliga match finished Grobiņa 0:1 Rīgas FS. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Grobiņa and Rīgas FS?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Grobiņa won 0, Rīgas FS won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
Grobiņa score 0.57 goals per game on average and Rīgas FS 1.71. The Virsliga average is 2.81 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Grobiņa's matches and 29% of Rīgas FS's.
What form are Grobiņa and Rīgas FS in?
Over the last 5 games Grobiņa have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Rīgas FS 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS?
The statistical background for Grobiņa vs Rīgas FS — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.