Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: match statistics
Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Grom Nowy Staw played Bałtyk Koszalin in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Grom Nowy Staw: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Bałtyk Koszalin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Grom Nowy Staw scores 2.70 and concedes 2.50 goals per match. Bałtyk Koszalin scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Grom Nowy Staw 80%, Bałtyk Koszalin 60%. Over 2.5: Grom Nowy Staw 90%, Bałtyk Koszalin 50%. League level: BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Bałtyk Koszalin has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.24. Grom Nowy Staw: 8.4 shots per match, Bałtyk Koszalin: 10.0.
Match halves
Grom Nowy Staw: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.40. Bałtyk Koszalin: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Grom Nowy Staw: 16-30 (6 goals). Bałtyk Koszalin: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.65 goals per match, BTTS 73%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grom Nowy Staw are slight favourites thanks to their attacking output: they average 3 goals per game at home, while Bałtyk Koszalin score 1.25 goals away from home. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 17 goals in the process, while the visitors have claimed 2 wins and scored 8 goals. However, the outcome remains open, as Grom concede an average of 2.6 goals at home and have lost 60% of their home matches, while Bałtyk concede just 1.25 goals away. The chance-quality data also calls for caution: Grom’s home xG is 1.33, while Bałtyk’s away xG is 1.41, suggesting that the hosts may struggle to sustain their advantage in goals scored. Even so, Bałtyk’s 2.07 expected goals conceded away from home indicate that Grom’s attack should have chances to secure a win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes scenario is supported by the season-long rates of matches in which both teams scored: 50% for Grom and 75% for Bałtyk, compared with a league average of 74%. Over their last five matches, that rate rose to 80% for Grom and stood at 60% for Bałtyk; the teams averaged 3.4 and 1.6 goals scored per game, respectively, during that period. The visitors’ chances are boosted by Grom conceding an average of 2.4 goals per match recently, against a season average of 1.5 goals conceded. The hosts also have good reason to expect a goal: Bałtyk conceded an average of 1.4 goals over its last five matches and allows chances worth an average xG of 2.07 across the season. The risk for this market is that Grom failed to score in 33% of its matches, but the overall picture of recent form points more strongly towards both teams scoring.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 100% of Grom’s matches and 75% of Bałtyk’s. In their last five games, Grom averaged 3.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded, with at least three goals in each match. Bałtyk have recently averaged 1.6 goals, while Grom have allowed opponents chances worth 1.63 xG per match, supporting the prospect of an away goal. At the same time, only 50% of each team’s matches this season have gone Over 2.5 goals, so the 1.5 line offers a clearer signal than the higher thresholds.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: Grom went into the break level in 4 of 6 home matches, while Bałtyk did so in 3 of 4 away games. The visitors were also level at half-time in 4 of their last 5 matches, although the hosts averaged 1.8 goals before the break over that span, so an early lead cannot be ruled out. Grom’s average of 1.0 goals scored in the second halves of home matches, compared with Bałtyk’s 0.5 in the second halves of away games, supports a home win after the break. The hosts have also won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 3.4 goals, while the visitors won 2 of 5 and averaged 1.6 goals. The X/1 scenario therefore has the strongest statistical backing, though Bałtyk’s 50% draw rate this season leaves a significant chance of a level finish.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Grom Nowy Staw | Bałtyk Koszalin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Grom Nowy Staw is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Grom Nowy Staw · 1.4 pts / match - Bałtyk Koszalin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grom Nowy Staw is 125% better for: goals scored per match.
2.7 goals / match - Grom Nowy Staw · 1.2 goals / match - Bałtyk Koszalin
Bałtyk Koszalin is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.5 goals / match - Grom Nowy Staw · 1.4 goals / match - Bałtyk Koszalin
Grom Nowy Staw scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Bałtyk Koszalin keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Bałtyk Koszalin scores in 80% of matches (8 of 10 matches), while Grom Nowy Staw keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Grom Nowy Staw
Over / Under - Bałtyk Koszalin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grom Nowy Staw is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Grom Nowy Staw · 1 pts / match - Bałtyk Koszalin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Grom Nowy Staw - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bałtyk Koszalin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Grom Nowy Staw
Bałtyk Koszalin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Grom Nowy Staw | Liga | Bałtyk Koszalin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 5.20 | 3.65 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 90% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 20% | 15% | ▲ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 90% | 80% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Grom Nowy StawGoalWojciech Zieliński
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Grom Nowy Staw 1:3 Bałtyk Koszalin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Grom Nowy Staw score 2.70 goals per game on average and Bałtyk Koszalin 1.20. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Grom Nowy Staw's matches and 60% of Bałtyk Koszalin's.
What form are Grom Nowy Staw and Bałtyk Koszalin in?
Over the last 5 games Grom Nowy Staw have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Bałtyk Koszalin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Grom Nowy Staw vs Bałtyk Koszalin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.