Grom Nowy Staw vs Polonia Środa: match statistics

Polonia Środa enter this match with a perfect record of 6 wins this season and a run of 5 consecutive victories, while Grom Nowy Staw have lost 4 of their 6 matches. Away from home, the visitors average 3.33 goals per match and create chances worth 2.41 xG, clearly outperforming the hosts’ figures of 2 goals and 1.13 xG. Polonia’s superiority is also evident in their control of the game: they average 21 shots, including 11 on target, compared with Grom’s 8 attempts and 4.67 shots on target. The hosts’ defence is particularly vulnerable, having conceded 3 goals per match at home, lost every game and failed to keep a single clean sheet. Grom are capable of scoring, but with opponents averaging 1.95 xG against them and the visitors in excellent form, a Polonia Środa win is the most likely outcome.

Both teams have a seasonal BTTS rate of 67%, and over their last five matches this has risen to 80% for each side. Grom have recently averaged 2.4 goals scored, but have also conceded 2.4, significantly increasing the likelihood that Polonia will find the back of the net. Polonia Środa are in excellent form, having won five games in a row, averaging 3.2 goals per match and generating a high 2.11 xG, while the hosts allow opponents 2.14 xG. The hosts also have attacking arguments in their favour: they average 3.0 goals per game this season, while Polonia keep a clean sheet in only 33% of their matches. Additionally, the league-wide BTTS frequency stands at 72%, making a goal for both teams the most likely scenario — BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal.

The profile of this match clearly favors goals: Grom average 3,00 goals at home, while Polonia average as many as 3,33 away from home. In their last five matches, the hosts have scored 12 and conceded 12 goals, while the visitors have netted 16, confirming the high tempo of both teams. Polonia average 2,41 xG and register 11 shots on target per match, while Grom’s defense has allowed opponents 2,14 xG across their last five appearances. Over 1.5 goals has landed in all of Polonia’s away matches and in 67% of Grom’s games, making Over 1.5 the safest choice with a projected total of 3,70 goals. Additionally, both teams have recorded at least three goals in 80% of their matches over the last five rounds, further supporting the scenario of an open, high-scoring game.

Polonia Środa have won all of their last five matches, while Grom Nowy Staw have lost three of their last five and averaged just 1.2 points per game over that period, compared with their opponents’ 3.0. The visitors held a lead at the break in 100% of their last five appearances, scoring an average of 2.0 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.25, whereas the home side were ahead in only 20% of those matches. Polonia’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average xG stands at 2.41 compared with Grom’s 1.83, while their shots on target average 11.0 versus 6.33. The hosts have recently conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, so given the visitors’ attacking output of 3.2 goals, the most likely scenario is Polonia leading at the break and securing a full-time victory: 1/1.