Netherlands - EredivisieEuroborgData current as of 16 October 2026

Groningen vs Ajax: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Groningen vs Ajax: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Groningen play Ajax in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Euroborg.

Current form

Groningen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ajax: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Groningen scores 2.50 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Ajax scores 2.75 and concedes 1.25. League average: 3.74 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Groningen 88%, Ajax 75%. Over 2.5: Groningen 88%, Ajax 75%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

xG, shots and style

Ajax has higher xG: 2.54 vs 1.67. Groningen: 14.9 shots per match, Ajax: 23.9.

Match halves

Groningen: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.88. Ajax: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.63.

Goals by minute

Groningen: 16-30 (5 goals). Ajax: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.74 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(4.22)
(4.28)
(1.75)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

2.5Goals scored / match2.75
GroningenAjax
1.75Goals conceded / match1.25
GroningenAjax
50%Average possession64%
GroningenAjax
5.88Shots on target / match7.5
GroningenAjax

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.88Shots per match23.88
GroningenAjax
5.88Shots on target7.5
GroningenAjax
16.8%Shot conversion11.5%
GroningenAjax
50%Possession64%
GroningenAjax
1.67xG for2.54
GroningenAjax
1.66xG against1.09
GroningenAjax

Shooting quality

Groningen: AttackingAjax: Dominant
GroningenAjax
Accuracy (shots on target)40%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Groningen
LDDWW
Season result split
50% W25% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-2
1.75 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.69Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Ajax
LWWDD
Season result split
50% W38% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-1
1.88 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 away
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 2.76Opponent xG: 0.99BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ajax is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

2.5 goals / match - Groningen · 2.75 goals / match - Ajax

Ajax is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.75 goals / match - Groningen · 1.25 goals / match - Ajax

Groningen scoring profile: very strong

Groningen scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Ajax keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).

Ajax scoring profile: very strong

Ajax scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while Groningen keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

20Goals scored (season)22
GroningenAjax
14Goals conceded (season)10
GroningenAjax
4.25Average goals in match4
GroningenAjax
13Goals scored (last 5)14
GroningenAjax
7Goals conceded (last 5)8
GroningenAjax

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
GroningenAjax
75%2 goals75%
GroningenAjax
38%3 goals38%
GroningenAjax
25%4 goals38%
GroningenAjax

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal75%
GroningenAjax
38%2 goals38%
GroningenAjax
25%3 goals13%
GroningenAjax
13%4 goals0%
GroningenAjax

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

50%BTTS at half-time50%
GroningenAjax
13%BTTS in both halves13%
GroningenAjax
63%Scored in both halves50%
GroningenAjax

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
GroningenAjax
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
GroningenAjax
80%BTTS - last 5100%
GroningenAjax

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
GroningenAjax
75%Min. 2 goals before half-time63%
GroningenAjax
63%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
GroningenAjax

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
GroningenAjax
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
GroningenAjax
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
GroningenAjax

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Groningen is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Groningen · 1.88 pts / match - Ajax

Groningen - half-time state
63% leading13% draw25% trailing
Ajax - half-time state
50% leading38% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.88
GroningenAjax
1.63Goals scored (1st half)1.13
GroningenAjax
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
GroningenAjax
2.63Average goals (1st half)1.75
GroningenAjax
50%Clean sheet before half-time50%
GroningenAjax
0%No goal before half-time13%
GroningenAjax

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)1.75
GroningenAjax
0.88Goals scored (2nd half)1.63
GroningenAjax
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
GroningenAjax
1.63Average goals (2nd half)2.25
GroningenAjax
38%Clean sheet after half-time38%
GroningenAjax
38%No goal after half-time38%
GroningenAjax

Groningen - second-half results

25% W50% D25% L
16
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ajax - second-half results

50% W25% D25% L
15
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Groningen - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match1.61.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match2.61.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
Ajax - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.21.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Groningen
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
5
1
16-30
4
4
31-45
1
3
46-60
3
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ajax
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
6
3
31-45
2
1
46-60
5
1
61-75
6
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.13
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 2.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
82%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-35%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Groningen

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.74
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.83
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Ajax

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.45
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

GroningenLigaAjax
Average goals in match▲ 4.253.74▲ 4.00
Both teams scored▲ 88%69%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 88%72%▲ 75%
Clean sheets▼ 13%16%▲ 25%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%81%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time• 88%89%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.74
Average goals per match
69%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
2.03
Away goals / match
+-16%
Home attack advantage
+-19%
Home defence advantage
+-9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
65%
2 goals
33%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): Groningen 1 - 0 - 2 Ajax. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.

FAQ

When do Groningen and Ajax play?

Groningen face Ajax on 18 October 2026 in Eredivisie at Euroborg. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Groningen and Ajax?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Groningen won 1, Ajax won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Groningen vs Ajax?

Groningen score 2.50 goals per game on average and Ajax 2.75. The Eredivisie average is 3.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Groningen's matches and 75% of Ajax's.

What form are Groningen and Ajax in?

Over the last 5 games Groningen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ajax 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Groningen vs Ajax?

The statistical background for Groningen vs Ajax — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.