Groningen vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Groningen presents decidedly better form and statistics, occupying 5th place in the table with 8 wins this season. The hosts have won half of their home matches and score an average of 1.75 goals per match with 57% possession. NAC Breda is in a critical situation in 18th position, having failed to win any away match this season (0% wins) while conceding an average of 2 goals on the road. The visitors' form is alarming, with a record of 0.2 points per match in their last five outings and only 1 goal scored during this period. The disparity in play quality is further confirmed by xG, where Groningen generates 1.96 expected goals in home matches compared to just 1.43 xG for NAC away. Given the hosts' advantage in all key aspects and the visitors' dismal run, a Groningen victory is the most probable scenario.
Groningen vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Groningen played NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 10 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Groningen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. NAC Breda: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Groningen scores 1.47 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 0.94 and concedes 1.53. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Groningen 47%, NAC Breda 53%. Over 2.5: Groningen 47%, NAC Breda 53%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Groningen has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.45. Groningen: 16.5 shots per match, NAC Breda: 13.6.
Match halves
Groningen: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82. NAC Breda: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Groningen: 76-90+ (7 goals). NAC Breda: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Groningen presents decidedly better form and statistics, occupying 5th place in the table with 8 wins this season. The hosts have won half of their home matches and score an average of 1.75 goals per match with 57% possession. NAC Breda is in a critical situation in 18th position, having failed to win any away match this season (0% wins) while conceding an average of 2 goals on the road. The visitors' form is alarming, with a record of 0.2 points per match in their last five outings and only 1 goal scored during this period. The disparity in play quality is further confirmed by xG, where Groningen generates 1.96 expected goals in home matches compared to just 1.43 xG for NAC away. Given the hosts' advantage in all key aspects and the visitors' dismal run, a Groningen victory is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Groningen | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Groningen is 700% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Groningen · 0.2 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Groningen is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Groningen · 0.94 goals / match - NAC Breda
Groningen is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Groningen · 1.53 goals / match - NAC Breda
Groningen scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Groningen keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Groningen
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Groningen is 35% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Groningen · 1 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Groningen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Groningen
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Groningen | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.76 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 19% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 85% | ▼ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Groningen 1 - 0 - 0 NAC Breda. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Groningen vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished Groningen 0:0 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Groningen vs NAC Breda?
Groningen score 1.47 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 0.94. The Eredivisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Groningen's matches and 53% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Groningen and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Groningen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and NAC Breda 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Groningen vs NAC Breda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Groningen vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.