Mexico - Liga MXEstadio AKRONData current as of 18 October 2026

Guadalajara vs Necaxa: match statistics

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Guadalajara vs Necaxa: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Guadalajara play Necaxa in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 21 October 2026. Venue: Estadio AKRON.

Current form

Guadalajara: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Necaxa: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Guadalajara scores 1.64 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Necaxa scores 1.25 and concedes 2.08. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Guadalajara 45%, Necaxa 83%. Over 2.5: Guadalajara 36%, Necaxa 67%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Guadalajara has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.58. Guadalajara: 14.4 shots per match, Necaxa: 15.0.

Match halves

Guadalajara: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.82. Necaxa: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Guadalajara: 0-15 (4 goals). Necaxa: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga MX: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.37)
(5.00)
(7.20)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.64Goals scored / match1.25
GuadalajaraNecaxa
1Goals conceded / match2.08
GuadalajaraNecaxa
59%Average possession49%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
5.64Shots on target / match4.75
GuadalajaraNecaxa

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.36Shots per match15
GuadalajaraNecaxa
5.64Shots on target4.75
GuadalajaraNecaxa
11.4%Shot conversion8.3%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
59%Possession49%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
1.71xG for1.58
GuadalajaraNecaxa
1.3xG against1.83
GuadalajaraNecaxa

Shooting quality

Guadalajara: DominantNecaxa: Attacking
GuadalajaraNecaxa
Accuracy (shots on target)39%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Guadalajara is 700% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Guadalajara · 0.2 pts / match - Necaxa

Guadalajara
WWDLD
Season result split
45% W36% D18% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-2
1.73 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Necaxa
LLLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
17% W25% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-7
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
LDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Guadalajara is 31% better for: goals scored per match.

1.64 goals / match - Guadalajara · 1.25 goals / match - Necaxa

Guadalajara is 108% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Guadalajara · 2.08 goals / match - Necaxa

Guadalajara scoring profile: very strong

Guadalajara scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Necaxa keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 12 matches).

Necaxa scoring profile: very strong

Necaxa scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

18Goals scored (season)15
GuadalajaraNecaxa
11Goals conceded (season)25
GuadalajaraNecaxa
2.64Average goals in match3.33
GuadalajaraNecaxa
9Goals scored (last 5)6
GuadalajaraNecaxa
5Goals conceded (last 5)13
GuadalajaraNecaxa

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal83%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
36%2 goals33%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
27%3 goals8%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
9%4 goals0%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal100%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
36%2 goals58%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
0%3 goals42%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
0%4 goals8%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time42%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
0%BTTS in both halves8%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
27%Scored in both halves8%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
40%BTTS - last 560%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Guadalajara is 98% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.64 pts / match - Guadalajara · 0.83 pts / match - Necaxa

Guadalajara - half-time state
45% leading27% draw27% trailing
Necaxa - half-time state
8% leading58% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.64Points per match (1st half)0.83
GuadalajaraNecaxa
0.82Goals scored (1st half)0.58
GuadalajaraNecaxa
0.27Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
GuadalajaraNecaxa
1.09Average goals (1st half)1.42
GuadalajaraNecaxa
73%Clean sheet before half-time33%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
55%No goal before half-time58%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)0.75
GuadalajaraNecaxa
0.82Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
GuadalajaraNecaxa
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)1.25
GuadalajaraNecaxa
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.92
GuadalajaraNecaxa
45%Clean sheet after half-time8%
GuadalajaraNecaxa
36%No goal after half-time50%
GuadalajaraNecaxa

Guadalajara - second-half results

45% W18% D36% L
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Necaxa - second-half results

17% W25% D58% L
10
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding213%

Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Guadalajara - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Necaxa - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.00
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.6
Average goals in match2.01.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference0-7
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Guadalajara
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
4
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Necaxa
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
4
16-30
4
5
31-45
1
6
46-60
1
3
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.98
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-33%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Guadalajara

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
105%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Necaxa

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

GuadalajaraLigaNecaxa
Average goals in match▼ 2.642.95▲ 3.33
Both teams scored▼ 45%59%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 36%52%▲ 67%
Clean sheets▲ 36%23%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%69%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%84%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / match
1.39
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Guadalajara 1 - 1 - 0 Necaxa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Club Necaxa
0 : 0
CD Guadalajara
CD Guadalajara
3 : 1
Club Necaxa

FAQ

When do Guadalajara and Necaxa play?

Guadalajara face Necaxa on 21 October 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio AKRON. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Guadalajara and Necaxa?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Guadalajara won 1, Necaxa won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Guadalajara vs Necaxa?

Guadalajara score 1.64 goals per game on average and Necaxa 1.25. The Liga MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Guadalajara's matches and 83% of Necaxa's.

What form are Guadalajara and Necaxa in?

Over the last 5 games Guadalajara have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Necaxa 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Guadalajara vs Necaxa?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Guadalajara vs Necaxa: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.